{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "2e8bd64e-26d6-4da0-b9dc-ec31ad6b7437",
    "symbol": "ALMGI",
    "name": "MG International S.A.",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 61.612,
    "architecture_energy": 63.16,
    "architecture_maturity": 14.766,
    "architecture_confidence": 73.55,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 25.97,
        "rotation_up": 67.53,
        "upward_expansion": 86.7,
        "deceleration": 46.1,
        "rotation_down": 11.27,
        "downward_expansion": 13.36
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        2.665333,
        2.595636,
        2.494667,
        2.451269
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 2.68,
    "trend_reference": 2.415333,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.109578,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 3.893249,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.311629,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 0.108668,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.165217,
    "excess_performance": 0.111906,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.109578,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.016269,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.311629,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.146593,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.001087,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.189354,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.165217,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.578653,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 868,
      "relative_activity": 0.352459,
      "balance": 0.578653,
      "dry_up": 0.431539,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.079793,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.404288,
      "from_high_reference": -0.197605,
      "from_low_reference": 0.34
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 2.415333,
      "fair_value_reference": 3.893249,
      "structural_low": 2.0,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": -0.050125,
        "positive_rate": 0.3,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.3,
        "median_excess_return": -0.025331,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.156522,
        "worst_return": -0.166667,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.316667,
        "sufficient": true
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        "worst_return": -0.320833,
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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          2.303636,
          2.334952,
          2.367312
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 2.26,
        "volume": 14014,
        "typical_volume": 4717.5,
        "trend": 2.405333,
        "fair_value": 4.234267,
        "relative_strength": -20.193081,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -52.444734,
        "energy": 33.871543,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.256,
          2.287273,
          2.326381,
          2.35686
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 2.28,
        "volume": 2627,
        "typical_volume": 4409.95,
        "trend": 2.394,
        "fair_value": 4.208367,
        "relative_strength": -18.826762,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -51.127444,
        "energy": 29.702773,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.261333,
          2.277091,
          2.321905,
          2.348774
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 2.28,
        "volume": 1084,
        "typical_volume": 4428.1,
        "trend": 2.383333,
        "fair_value": 4.182185,
        "relative_strength": -16.642223,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -48.280703,
        "energy": 25.674343,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.268,
          2.270909,
          2.317619,
          2.341419
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 2.5,
        "volume": 1535,
        "typical_volume": 3868.15,
        "trend": 2.383333,
        "fair_value": 4.154882,
        "relative_strength": -9.852043,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -10.08784,
        "energy": 8.795367,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.348,
          2.308727,
          2.333524,
          2.348946
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 2.34,
        "volume": 2360,
        "typical_volume": 3704.2,
        "trend": 2.376667,
        "fair_value": 4.127116,
        "relative_strength": -15.506652,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -24.681431,
        "energy": 15.609186,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.357333,
          2.318545,
          2.332762,
          2.346151
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 2.4,
        "volume": 308,
        "typical_volume": 3395.4,
        "trend": 2.378,
        "fair_value": 4.101704,
        "relative_strength": -12.908781,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 10.287755,
        "energy": 12.998531,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.38,
          2.337091,
          2.337048,
          2.347656
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 2.38,
        "volume": 900,
        "typical_volume": 3401.15,
        "trend": 2.374667,
        "fair_value": 4.07757,
        "relative_strength": -14.128321,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 9.812375,
        "energy": 15.414378,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.386667,
          2.349455,
          2.339524,
          2.347785
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 2.48,
        "volume": 402,
        "typical_volume": 3138.9,
        "trend": 2.374667,
        "fair_value": 4.051827,
        "relative_strength": -10.360247,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 22.285217,
        "energy": 28.50935,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.42,
          2.378545,
          2.351905,
          2.354581
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 2.32,
        "volume": 2002,
        "typical_volume": 3165.45,
        "trend": 2.365333,
        "fair_value": 4.025058,
        "relative_strength": -14.866006,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 4.25438,
        "energy": 11.544069,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.386667,
          2.374909,
          2.348952,
          2.351054
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 2.6,
        "volume": 4,
        "typical_volume": 3134.3,
        "trend": 2.361333,
        "fair_value": 4.000647,
        "relative_strength": -5.105983,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.637364,
        "energy": 52.881664,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.458667,
          2.420727,
          2.372571,
          2.366194
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 2.46,
        "volume": 2629,
        "typical_volume": 2957.75,
        "trend": 2.352667,
        "fair_value": 3.977026,
        "relative_strength": -7.255837,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 50.124223,
        "energy": 41.812674,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.466667,
          2.434545,
          2.381429,
          2.372559
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 2.74,
        "volume": 1091,
        "typical_volume": 2797.15,
        "trend": 2.366667,
        "fair_value": 3.954075,
        "relative_strength": 4.374953,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.095435,
        "energy": 60.328139,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.564,
          2.495636,
          2.416667,
          2.397548
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 2.56,
        "volume": 357,
        "typical_volume": 2762.5,
        "trend": 2.381333,
        "fair_value": 3.928844,
        "relative_strength": -1.718817,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 56.038232,
        "energy": 60.86137,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.577333,
          2.515636,
          2.433619,
          2.410022
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 2.74,
        "volume": 1935,
        "typical_volume": 2782.25,
        "trend": 2.399333,
        "fair_value": 3.910957,
        "relative_strength": 3.979286,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.981484,
        "energy": 66.622169,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.645333,
          2.563273,
          2.467429,
          2.433161
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 2.68,
        "volume": 868,
        "typical_volume": 2462.7,
        "trend": 2.415333,
        "fair_value": 3.893249,
        "relative_strength": 0.108668,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.611878,
        "energy": 63.160045,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.665333,
          2.595636,
          2.494667,
          2.451269
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}