{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "2e933fcc-47cf-40df-98a2-1b9b2e30da24",
    "symbol": "FIE",
    "name": "iShares Canadian Financial Monthly Income ETF Common Class",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 71.022,
    "architecture_energy": 68.766,
    "architecture_maturity": 71.432,
    "architecture_confidence": 87.953,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 4.67,
        "rotation_up": 65.55,
        "upward_expansion": 90.0,
        "deceleration": 61.71,
        "rotation_down": 26.62,
        "downward_expansion": 12.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        11.467368,
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        11.063582,
        10.756839
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 11.48,
    "trend_reference": 10.393848,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.1045,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 8.026864,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.430197,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 2.305091,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.172102,
    "excess_performance": 0.05168,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.1045,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.04912,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.430197,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.052495,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.023051,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.03084,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.172102,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.46401,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 709900,
      "relative_activity": 1.467524,
      "balance": 1.46401,
      "dry_up": 1.1808,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.01743,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.101666,
      "from_high_reference": -0.009491,
      "from_low_reference": 0.315287
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 10.393848,
      "fair_value_reference": 8.026864,
      "structural_low": 9.379271,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 38,
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        "positive_rate": 0.736842,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.736842,
        "median_excess_return": 0.000299,
        "regime_survival": 0.815789,
        "best_return": 0.057043,
        "worst_return": -0.066752,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 13,
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        "median_excess_return": 0.00906,
        "regime_survival": 0.538462,
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        "worst_return": -0.065356,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
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        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.014142,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.193712,
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": -0.07772,
        "sufficient": false
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        "end": "2023-11-24",
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      },
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      },
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        "typical_volume": 503380.0,
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        "fair_value": 7.919379,
        "relative_strength": 6.062987,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 87.804249,
        "energy": 95.477875,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 11.420209,
        "volume": 494800,
        "typical_volume": 483480.0,
        "trend": 10.28538,
        "fair_value": 7.954843,
        "relative_strength": 4.720742,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.826763,
        "energy": 88.245133,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 11.47,
        "volume": 594100,
        "typical_volume": 475280.0,
        "trend": 10.341245,
        "fair_value": 7.990849,
        "relative_strength": 5.572753,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.312674,
        "energy": 74.843523,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.448764,
          11.318727,
          10.983202,
          10.683371
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 11.48,
        "volume": 709900,
        "typical_volume": 483740.0,
        "trend": 10.393848,
        "fair_value": 8.026864,
        "relative_strength": 2.305091,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.021985,
        "energy": 68.766022,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}