{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2e9a6e1e-f1c5-4380-a9a4-19f18e2355d7", "symbol": "8433", "name": "Bon Fame Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 21.857, "architecture_energy": 16.079, "architecture_maturity": 10.563, "architecture_confidence": 59.363, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 61.3, "rotation_up": 49.0, "upward_expansion": 39.81, "deceleration": 41.56, "rotation_down": 24.57, "downward_expansion": 16.48 }, "activity_lines": [ 54.193333, 53.761818, 53.682374, 53.926511 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 54.799999, "trend_reference": 53.879163, "distance_from_trend": 0.017091, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 65.76976, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.16679, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -24.688888, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.079465, "excess_performance": -0.361907, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.017091, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.036989, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.16679, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.047783, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.246889, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.095137, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.079465, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.787329, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 165029, "relative_activity": 0.485424, "balance": 1.787329, "dry_up": 0.274727, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.038742, "annualized_volatility": 0.197443, "from_high_reference": -0.083632, "from_low_reference": 0.177794 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 53.879163, "fair_value_reference": 65.76976, "structural_low": 49.368678, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.003714, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.002911, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.148897, "worst_return": -0.049342, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.003233, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.005633, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.143564, "worst_return": -0.057018, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.031274, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.009166, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.10521, "worst_return": -0.167757, "sufficient": false }, 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66.178499, "relative_strength": -25.106529, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 16.392011, "energy": 11.590097, "activity_lines": [ 53.153333, 53.096363, 53.844618, 53.737111 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 53.900002, "volume": 45230, "typical_volume": 405271.6, "trend": 53.229049, "fair_value": 66.098682, "relative_strength": -25.567535, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 21.729651, "energy": 10.562364, "activity_lines": [ 53.393334, 53.263636, 53.800384, 53.794951 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 52.599998, "volume": 130335, "typical_volume": 405384.1, "trend": 53.411279, "fair_value": 66.013966, "relative_strength": -25.427282, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -14.588587, "energy": 7.811688, "activity_lines": [ 53.206667, 53.163636, 53.616972, 53.754367 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 54.900002, "volume": 33000, "typical_volume": 365138.9, "trend": 53.620495, "fair_value": 65.884639, "relative_strength": -22.995218, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 11.003392, "energy": 9.657126, "activity_lines": [ 53.786667, 53.498182, 53.649197, 53.850414 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 54.799999, "volume": 165029, "typical_volume": 339968.55, "trend": 53.879163, "fair_value": 65.76976, "relative_strength": -24.688888, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 21.856929, "energy": 16.078771, "activity_lines": [ 54.193333, 53.761818, 53.682374, 53.926511 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }