{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2e9ba9b3-881e-42d0-9b56-477207edb5fd", "symbol": "WCBR", "name": "WisdomTree Cybersecurity UCITS ETF USD Acc", "exchange": "MIL", "country": "IT", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 80.231, "architecture_energy": 69.512, "architecture_maturity": 57.113, "architecture_confidence": 88.386, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.88, "rotation_up": 65.63, "upward_expansion": 85.33, "deceleration": 67.05, "rotation_down": 21.43, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 32.543667, 31.655727, 29.316176, 27.387157 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 33.965, "trend_reference": 25.2514, "distance_from_trend": 0.345074, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 24.264305, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.399793, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 14.64853, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.660474, "excess_performance": 0.489582, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.345074, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.088763, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.399793, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.362809, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.146485, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.290009, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.660474, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 8.638073, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 115838, "relative_activity": 1.511684, "balance": 8.638073, "dry_up": 1.00082, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.064048, "annualized_volatility": 0.455147, "from_high_reference": -0.031508, "from_low_reference": 0.79671 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 25.2514, "fair_value_reference": 24.264305, "structural_low": 18.903999, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": 0.003274, "positive_rate": 0.526316, "directional_follow_through": 0.526316, "median_excess_return": -0.021911, "regime_survival": 0.736842, "best_return": 0.172799, "worst_return": -0.096821, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.085294, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.026848, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.195597, "worst_return": -0.165997, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.011159, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.124388, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.180734, "worst_return": -0.296572, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"fair_value": 23.886876, "relative_strength": 11.784571, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 87.329073, "energy": 91.403792, "activity_lines": [ 30.589999, 29.364272, 26.68879, 25.32926 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 33.32, "volume": 74749, "typical_volume": 73444.55, "trend": 24.385067, "fair_value": 23.98735, "relative_strength": 16.217343, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.128468, "energy": 93.092942, "activity_lines": [ 31.815333, 30.287636, 27.5064, 25.925643 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 31.26, "volume": 68200, "typical_volume": 72701.1, "trend": 24.6304, "fair_value": 24.072132, "relative_strength": 9.387452, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.631444, "energy": 84.523428, "activity_lines": [ 31.980666, 30.668818, 28.064286, 26.369187 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 31.35, "volume": 47978, "typical_volume": 71869.95, "trend": 24.906067, "fair_value": 24.158747, "relative_strength": 9.102147, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.872173, "energy": 70.775167, "activity_lines": [ 31.916333, 30.958636, 28.586243, 26.80271 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 33.965, "volume": 115838, "typical_volume": 76628.45, "trend": 25.2514, "fair_value": 24.264305, "relative_strength": 14.64853, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.231209, "energy": 69.512164, "activity_lines": [ 32.543667, 31.655727, 29.316176, 27.387157 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }