{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2eaa0f77-87cc-43cf-a4f8-2cd8cbb6ff99", "symbol": "300468", "name": "Shenzhen Forms Syntron Information Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.954, "architecture_energy": 60.543, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 95.292, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.13, "rotation_up": 29.22, "upward_expansion": 11.55, "deceleration": 60.99, "rotation_down": 51.93, "downward_expansion": 84.88 }, "activity_lines": [ 20.904667, 20.939455, 22.966559, 25.386705 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 22.110001, "trend_reference": 28.49054, "distance_from_trend": -0.223953, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 20.860584, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.059894, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -34.858926, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.306793, "excess_performance": -0.314193, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.223953, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.130389, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.059894, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.411786, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.348589, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.021666, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.306793, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.613227, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 196759517, "relative_activity": 1.870616, "balance": 0.613227, "dry_up": 1.396794, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.095745, "annualized_volatility": 0.51622, "from_high_reference": -0.578243, "from_low_reference": 0.202938 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 28.49054, "fair_value_reference": 20.860584, "structural_low": 18.379999, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": 0.009443, "positive_rate": 0.56, "directional_follow_through": 0.44, "median_excess_return": 0.006829, "regime_survival": 0.72, "best_return": 0.20442, "worst_return": -0.204477, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.017316, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.039175, "regime_survival": 0.3, "best_return": 1.840909, "worst_return": -0.344534, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.042819, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.122495, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 1.097481, "worst_return": -0.345694, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -88.322585, "energy": 95.336626, "activity_lines": [ 20.073333, 21.480364, 24.54549, 27.014072 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 18.969999, "volume": 143453054, "typical_volume": 116633018.7, "trend": 29.533751, "fair_value": 20.707685, "relative_strength": -43.703329, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.250891, "energy": 90.709076, "activity_lines": [ 19.463333, 20.779636, 23.735978, 26.302769 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 22.27, "volume": 161070739, "typical_volume": 109368602.8, "trend": 29.04525, "fair_value": 20.783477, "relative_strength": -31.899244, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.447145, "energy": 66.33912, "activity_lines": [ 20.237333, 20.836545, 23.326537, 25.83414 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 22.110001, "volume": 196759517, "typical_volume": 105184363.75, "trend": 28.49054, "fair_value": 20.860584, "relative_strength": -34.858926, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.954242, "energy": 60.543073, "activity_lines": [ 20.904667, 20.939455, 22.966559, 25.386705 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }