{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2ec7020a-3d0a-4297-9f4f-c7ab4f531646", "symbol": "ATER", "name": "Aterian, Inc.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 84.422, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -48.34, "architecture_energy": 67.511, "architecture_maturity": 26.0, "architecture_confidence": 88.571, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.4, "rotation_up": 22.0, "upward_expansion": 33.89, "deceleration": 48.12, "rotation_down": 75.45, "downward_expansion": 51.89 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.896667, 15.23, 17.178619, 16.233333 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 8.09, "trend_reference": 14.940333, "distance_from_trend": -0.458513, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 41.385, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.804519, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -50.260614, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.308547, "excess_performance": -0.25388, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.458513, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.075411, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.804519, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.25831, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.502606, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.563718, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.308547, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.651591, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 159, "relative_activity": 0.701522, "balance": 2.651591, "dry_up": 0.716964, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.288771, "annualized_volatility": 1.715681, "from_high_reference": -0.662917, "from_low_reference": 0.198519 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 14.940333, "fair_value_reference": 41.385, "structural_low": 6.75, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a 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"date": "2026-06-26", "close": 24.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 196.9, "trend": 14.592667, "fair_value": 44.670641, "relative_strength": 32.648345, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 85.993905, "energy": 65.962665, "activity_lines": [ 20.8, 20.768909, 17.714619, 16.092495 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 23.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 196.55, "trend": 14.859333, "fair_value": 44.198846, "relative_strength": 29.512502, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.865716, "energy": 66.773565, "activity_lines": [ 21.666667, 21.314364, 18.453333, 16.634903 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 23.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 196.25, "trend": 15.126, "fair_value": 43.577051, "relative_strength": 31.953606, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.565713, "energy": 67.077015, "activity_lines": [ 22.4, 21.641818, 19.137333, 17.160108 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 23.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 194.45, "trend": 15.476, "fair_value": 42.955256, "relative_strength": 32.644378, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.805848, "energy": 66.822047, "activity_lines": [ 22.866667, 21.910909, 19.766571, 17.668108 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 9.0, "volume": 391, "typical_volume": 214.0, "trend": 15.385667, "fair_value": 42.397564, "relative_strength": -46.786118, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "up", "direction": 5.449533, "energy": 11.549364, "activity_lines": [ 18.4, 19.618182, 18.998238, 17.250301 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.75, "volume": 100, "typical_volume": 219.0, "trend": 15.217333, "fair_value": 41.840833, "relative_strength": -59.437081, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -47.775843, "energy": 53.645767, "activity_lines": [ 13.85, 17.154545, 18.018048, 16.693161 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.09, "volume": 159, "typical_volume": 226.65, "trend": 14.940333, "fair_value": 41.385, "relative_strength": -50.260614, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -48.339846, "energy": 67.510819, "activity_lines": [ 10.896667, 15.23, 17.178619, 16.233333 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }