{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2ec7dba1-98b1-4bc6-b536-dac3cf176da0", "symbol": "002124", "name": "Tech-Bank Food Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -54.135, "architecture_energy": 42.241, "architecture_maturity": 25.265, "architecture_confidence": 93.767, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.12, "rotation_up": 21.19, "upward_expansion": 7.1, "deceleration": 45.3, "rotation_down": 45.66, "downward_expansion": 75.76 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.208, 2.215455, 2.347, 2.406151 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 2.22, "trend_reference": 2.485333, "distance_from_trend": -0.10676, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.957179, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.249285, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -19.750708, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.192727, "excess_performance": -0.200127, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.10676, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.069744, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.249285, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.069, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.197507, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.072828, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.192727, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.845782, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 245661934, "relative_activity": 0.504633, "balance": 0.845782, "dry_up": 0.589549, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.104297, "annualized_volatility": 0.59862, "from_high_reference": -0.323171, "from_low_reference": 0.093596 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.485333, "fair_value_reference": 2.957179, "structural_low": 2.03, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 36, "median_return": -0.012724, "positive_rate": 0.472222, "directional_follow_through": 0.527778, "median_excess_return": -0.012986, "regime_survival": 0.888889, "best_return": 0.174757, "worst_return": -0.309446, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.032271, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.091431, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.357447, "worst_return": -0.248062, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.135179, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.16114, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.369099, "worst_return": -0.397933, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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47.734637, "activity_lines": [ 2.23, 2.294727, 2.423952, 2.470688 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.13, "volume": 290232692, "typical_volume": 490111892.45, "trend": 2.521667, "fair_value": 2.986859, "relative_strength": -21.878624, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.588624, "energy": 42.769653, "activity_lines": [ 2.205333, 2.243818, 2.390857, 2.443849 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.22, "volume": 233866872, "typical_volume": 485558318.2, "trend": 2.502667, "fair_value": 2.972179, "relative_strength": -16.441437, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.683988, "energy": 39.186807, "activity_lines": [ 2.211333, 2.224545, 2.368048, 2.424387 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.22, "volume": 245661934, "typical_volume": 486812683.05, "trend": 2.485333, "fair_value": 2.957179, "relative_strength": -19.750708, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.135383, "energy": 42.241152, "activity_lines": [ 2.208, 2.215455, 2.347, 2.406151 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }