{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "2edebf06-cd3b-4b44-8d4b-d9efde5aacb1",
    "symbol": "CNDU",
    "name": "BetaPro S&P/TSX 60 2x Daily Bull ETF",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 89.588,
    "architecture_energy": 74.68,
    "architecture_maturity": 100.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 81.032,
    "architecture_tenure": "Extended",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 3.81,
        "rotation_up": 76.64,
        "upward_expansion": 90.62,
        "deceleration": 50.05,
        "rotation_down": 18.53,
        "downward_expansion": 12.62
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        52.986667,
        52.184364,
        50.582143,
        49.085377
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Stable",
      "rotation_direction": "Stable",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 54.709999,
    "trend_reference": 47.29,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.156904,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 30.653718,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.784775,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 11.973033,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.276482,
    "excess_performance": 0.15606,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.156904,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.079524,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.784775,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.107656,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.11973,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.036508,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.276482,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.29678,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 80400,
      "relative_activity": 0.765933,
      "balance": 2.29678,
      "dry_up": 1.053634,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.029625,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.218875,
      "from_high_reference": -0.009774,
      "from_low_reference": 0.648388
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 47.29,
      "fair_value_reference": 30.653718,
      "structural_low": 40.049999,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 42,
        "median_return": 0.025559,
        "positive_rate": 0.690476,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.690476,
        "median_excess_return": 0.010906,
        "regime_survival": 0.809524,
        "best_return": 0.132385,
        "worst_return": -0.118812,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 15,
        "median_return": -0.004516,
        "positive_rate": 0.466667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.466667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.008692,
        "regime_survival": 0.533333,
        "best_return": 0.243903,
        "worst_return": -0.105599,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.136957,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.071048,
        "regime_survival": 0.375,
        "best_return": 0.292911,
        "worst_return": -0.264584,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.219976,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.106317,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.485615,
        "worst_return": -0.083422,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2023-12-01",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-01-31",
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        "active": false
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.105028,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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      {
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 47.09,
        "volume": 75800,
        "typical_volume": 166485.0,
        "trend": 42.545333,
        "fair_value": 27.806154,
        "relative_strength": 9.728579,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.073657,
        "energy": 69.270162,
        "activity_lines": [
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          43.956968
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "volume": 100700,
        "typical_volume": 160260.0,
        "trend": 42.858667,
        "fair_value": 27.9825,
        "relative_strength": 8.3222,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.178259,
        "energy": 66.756862,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 46.529999,
        "volume": 97200,
        "typical_volume": 162705.0,
        "trend": 43.133667,
        "fair_value": 28.157885,
        "relative_strength": 7.79753,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.771194,
        "energy": 51.085126,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 90700,
        "typical_volume": 164025.0,
        "trend": 43.460333,
        "fair_value": 28.352628,
        "relative_strength": 10.271514,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.263501,
        "energy": 50.884332,
        "activity_lines": [
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          45.636286,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 48.950001,
        "volume": 165200,
        "typical_volume": 164080.0,
        "trend": 43.806333,
        "fair_value": 28.548141,
        "relative_strength": 9.462916,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.616006,
        "energy": 50.33875,
        "activity_lines": [
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          46.016,
          45.19
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 48.84,
        "volume": 70700,
        "typical_volume": 160870.0,
        "trend": 44.178,
        "fair_value": 28.744487,
        "relative_strength": 9.902884,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.664526,
        "energy": 59.091162,
        "activity_lines": [
          48.406,
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          46.362,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 50.400002,
        "volume": 78300,
        "typical_volume": 157600.0,
        "trend": 44.566,
        "fair_value": 28.949423,
        "relative_strength": 11.223317,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.324595,
        "energy": 74.949212,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "typical_volume": 148980.0,
        "trend": 44.951,
        "fair_value": 29.158782,
        "relative_strength": 9.951081,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.823389,
        "energy": 79.88882,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 50.740002,
        "volume": 18900,
        "typical_volume": 134355.0,
        "trend": 45.269,
        "fair_value": 29.363526,
        "relative_strength": 10.880347,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.78938,
        "energy": 84.134802,
        "activity_lines": [
          50.123335,
          49.244001,
          47.691667,
          46.645398
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 51.279999,
        "volume": 11900,
        "typical_volume": 122030.0,
        "trend": 45.609,
        "fair_value": 29.576154,
        "relative_strength": 10.744439,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.263214,
        "energy": 89.255146,
        "activity_lines": [
          50.616001,
          49.746001,
          48.143572,
          47.033205
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 52.07,
        "volume": 146000,
        "typical_volume": 120590.0,
        "trend": 45.959334,
        "fair_value": 29.789038,
        "relative_strength": 11.758153,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.067581,
        "energy": 90.088225,
        "activity_lines": [
          51.216667,
          50.312546,
          48.63762,
          47.450043
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 52.27,
        "volume": 100800,
        "typical_volume": 121215.0,
        "trend": 46.298,
        "fair_value": 30.000064,
        "relative_strength": 11.827745,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.555828,
        "energy": 89.370882,
        "activity_lines": [
          51.668667,
          50.82491,
          49.122715,
          47.857183
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 52.040001,
        "volume": 161700,
        "typical_volume": 116845.0,
        "trend": 46.609667,
        "fair_value": 30.21,
        "relative_strength": 10.547544,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.630659,
        "energy": 83.915419,
        "activity_lines": [
          51.919334,
          51.198364,
          49.56062,
          48.227635
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 52.130001,
        "volume": 99500,
        "typical_volume": 112050.0,
        "trend": 46.935334,
        "fair_value": 30.424744,
        "relative_strength": 10.681841,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.358358,
        "energy": 72.889982,
        "activity_lines": [
          52.069334,
          51.488001,
          49.970048,
          48.583785
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 54.709999,
        "volume": 80400,
        "typical_volume": 104970.0,
        "trend": 47.29,
        "fair_value": 30.653718,
        "relative_strength": 11.973033,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 89.588394,
        "energy": 74.680456,
        "activity_lines": [
          52.986667,
          52.184364,
          50.582143,
          49.085377
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}