{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2ee39916-f16a-458b-8225-0306044db6e5", "symbol": "277630", "name": "Mirae Asset TIGER KOSPI ETF", "exchange": "KSC", "country": "KR", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^KS11", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 53.435, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": -11.804, "architecture_energy": 30.065, "architecture_maturity": 59.957, "architecture_confidence": 91.552, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 46.9, "rotation_up": 14.06, "upward_expansion": 43.27, "deceleration": 87.46, "rotation_down": 53.83, "downward_expansion": 39.6 }, "activity_lines": [ 68779.710938, 74689.955824, 76900.412407, 73665.593254 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 65220.0, "trend_reference": 68535.676042, "distance_from_trend": -0.048379, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 36322.411271, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.795586, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 0.523832, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.236087, "excess_performance": 0.006258, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.048379, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.216026, "read": "Rising" 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52424.905455, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.015984, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.000812, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.283737, "worst_return": -0.052559, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.049093, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.003702, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.283425, "worst_return": -0.086924, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.04414, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.006024, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.085112, "worst_return": -0.142555, "sufficient": false }, { 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"close": 68885.0, "volume": 1145818, "typical_volume": 464656.05, "trend": 67942.324219, "fair_value": 36067.98773, "relative_strength": 0.780697, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -3.384031, "energy": 22.59585, "activity_lines": [ 71865.942188, 77596.857813, 77758.439174, 73841.227075 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 65220.0, "volume": 361779, "typical_volume": 466324.3, "trend": 68535.676042, "fair_value": 36322.411271, "relative_strength": 0.523832, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -11.804299, "energy": 30.065473, "activity_lines": [ 68779.710938, 74689.955824, 76900.412407, 73665.593254 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }