{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2ee7f7ad-90bc-4a51-8f56-c15fe6ffc0ab", "symbol": "TSCO1", "name": "Tractor Supply Company", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -68.494, "architecture_energy": 87.453, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.54, "rotation_up": 30.0, "upward_expansion": 21.79, "deceleration": 37.07, "rotation_down": 58.89, "downward_expansion": 97.46 }, "activity_lines": [ 530.283333, 534.432364, 553.767106, 614.305866 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 530.0, "trend_reference": 704.014746, "distance_from_trend": -0.247175, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 914.833345, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.42066, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -38.9831, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.436961, "excess_performance": -0.382294, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.247175, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.170886, "read": "Falling" 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505.764528, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 28, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.392857, "median_excess_return": 0.004688, "regime_survival": 0.821429, "best_return": 0.156886, "worst_return": -0.351519, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.024898, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.085071, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.11693, "worst_return": -0.341217, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.035717, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.152955, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.049085, "worst_return": -0.421029, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"relative_strength": -39.983226, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.831058, "energy": 79.020266, "activity_lines": [ 532.9, 535.783455, 561.820819, 626.315428 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 530.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 980.7, "trend": 704.014746, "fair_value": 914.833345, "relative_strength": -38.9831, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.493693, "energy": 87.4534, "activity_lines": [ 530.283333, 534.432364, 553.767106, 614.305866 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }