{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2ef2b79c-eb5e-4c4a-b725-7d9f1799a4a7", "symbol": "GRAVITA", "name": "Gravita India Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 56.292, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 41.246, "architecture_energy": 25.508, "architecture_maturity": 31.324, "architecture_confidence": 62.219, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.32, "rotation_up": 41.73, "upward_expansion": 66.29, "deceleration": 59.39, "rotation_down": 25.75, "downward_expansion": 16.29 }, "activity_lines": [ 1729.613314, 1731.572712, 1696.646655, 1656.033108 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 1732.099976, "trend_reference": 1618.456661, "distance_from_trend": 0.070217, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1576.45585, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.09873, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 5.238357, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.05423, "excess_performance": 0.097939, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.070217, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.014166, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.09873, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.087581, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.052384, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.026658, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.05423, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.708675, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1109491, "relative_activity": 0.934183, "balance": 0.708675, "dry_up": 1.10677, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.068823, "annualized_volatility": 0.433625, "from_high_reference": -0.094847, "from_low_reference": 0.367195 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1618.456661, "fair_value_reference": 1576.45585, "structural_low": 1266.900024, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 32, "median_return": 0.038452, "positive_rate": 0.6875, "directional_follow_through": 0.6875, "median_excess_return": 0.051289, "regime_survival": 0.84375, "best_return": 0.66364, "worst_return": -0.131142, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.230785, "positive_rate": 0.727273, "directional_follow_through": 0.727273, "median_excess_return": 0.143218, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 0.636229, "worst_return": -0.072381, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.42574, "positive_rate": 0.857143, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": 0.388366, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 1.273598, "worst_return": -0.240671, 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"relative_strength": 14.223215, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 49.793746, "energy": 58.745456, "activity_lines": [ 1748.646663, 1704.829084, 1650.749518, 1627.343006 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1818.199951, "volume": 1237474, "typical_volume": 1141383.55, "trend": 1628.179997, "fair_value": 1556.629022, "relative_strength": 11.212638, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.265725, "energy": 71.142724, "activity_lines": [ 1783.07998, 1727.976349, 1671.620466, 1639.617411 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1775.699951, "volume": 738737, "typical_volume": 1146646.65, "trend": 1624.856661, "fair_value": 1563.860495, "relative_strength": 11.243214, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.385802, "energy": 69.20187, "activity_lines": [ 1788.993302, 1742.392707, 1687.466653, 1649.134828 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1616.400024, "volume": 2172159, "typical_volume": 1196785.85, "trend": 1616.719995, "fair_value": 1569.856669, "relative_strength": -1.108797, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.603683, "energy": 41.53082, "activity_lines": [ 1738.199984, 1726.252714, 1687.014751, 1648.589238 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1732.099976, "volume": 1109491, "typical_volume": 1187659.2, "trend": 1618.456661, "fair_value": 1576.45585, "relative_strength": 5.238357, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 41.246414, "energy": 25.508351, "activity_lines": [ 1729.613314, 1731.572712, 1696.646655, 1656.033108 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }