{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "2f10a82a-5d6f-48f7-a0d7-356b85fdebba",
    "symbol": "CS",
    "name": "AXA SA",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 78.434,
    "architecture_energy": 90.71,
    "architecture_maturity": 43.688,
    "architecture_confidence": 79.213,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 0.0,
        "rotation_up": 77.67,
        "upward_expansion": 99.54,
        "deceleration": 39.19,
        "rotation_down": 16.5,
        "downward_expansion": 21.54
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        42.571665,
        41.240074
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 45.400002,
    "trend_reference": 39.612633,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.146099,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 33.148098,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.369611,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -4.539358,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.207236,
    "excess_performance": 0.032989,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.146099,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.053865,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.369611,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.135161,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.045394,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.092613,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.207236,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 16.813793,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 300,
      "relative_activity": 0.447361,
      "balance": 16.813793,
      "dry_up": 0.827244,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.023687,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.239877,
      "from_high_reference": -0.004386,
      "from_low_reference": 0.322021
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 39.612633,
      "fair_value_reference": 33.148098,
      "structural_low": 34.341353,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 38,
        "median_return": 0.017348,
        "positive_rate": 0.631579,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.631579,
        "median_excess_return": 0.005501,
        "regime_survival": 0.789474,
        "best_return": 0.093881,
        "worst_return": -0.183733,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "median_excess_return": 0.025003,
        "regime_survival": 0.714286,
        "best_return": 0.178215,
        "worst_return": -0.093818,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.12397,
        "positive_rate": 0.875,
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        "median_excess_return": 0.074662,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
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        "worst_return": -0.052041,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": 0.080054,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 980.2,
        "trend": 37.275954,
        "fair_value": 31.503903,
        "relative_strength": -13.800696,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "relative_strength": -11.780591,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "energy": 35.195584,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "trend": 37.445625,
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        "energy": 39.420437,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 39.799999,
        "volume": 290,
        "typical_volume": 1013.7,
        "trend": 37.587945,
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "trend": 37.733236,
        "fair_value": 31.932079,
        "relative_strength": -13.270323,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "trend": 37.884892,
        "fair_value": 32.050999,
        "relative_strength": -12.187403,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "energy": 64.570644,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 912.15,
        "trend": 38.321576,
        "fair_value": 32.313717,
        "relative_strength": -8.016204,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.179538,
        "energy": 87.47885,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 43.77,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 871.25,
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        "fair_value": 32.453638,
        "relative_strength": -8.781126,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.717927,
        "energy": 92.812041,
        "activity_lines": [
          42.741333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 44.23,
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        "typical_volume": 913.3,
        "trend": 38.755354,
        "fair_value": 32.592613,
        "relative_strength": -6.190628,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.508337,
        "energy": 92.24128,
        "activity_lines": [
          43.478667,
          42.199818,
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          39.711961
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 44.689999,
        "volume": 175,
        "typical_volume": 827.2,
        "trend": 38.955294,
        "fair_value": 32.733807,
        "relative_strength": -2.976504,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.70532,
        "energy": 92.441043,
        "activity_lines": [
          44.056666,
          42.824727,
          41.18516,
          40.094841
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 44.779999,
        "volume": 126,
        "typical_volume": 661.1,
        "trend": 39.156345,
        "fair_value": 32.868058,
        "relative_strength": -3.70611,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 76.570157,
        "energy": 90.821202,
        "activity_lines": [
          44.413333,
          43.360545,
          41.663311,
          40.470629
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 45.040001,
        "volume": 1618,
        "typical_volume": 665.6,
        "trend": 39.357256,
        "fair_value": 33.009277,
        "relative_strength": -2.820543,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.976132,
        "energy": 89.011432,
        "activity_lines": [
          44.708,
          43.846545,
          42.121054,
          40.850219
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 45.400002,
        "volume": 300,
        "typical_volume": 670.6,
        "trend": 39.612633,
        "fair_value": 33.148098,
        "relative_strength": -4.539358,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.434037,
        "energy": 90.709786,
        "activity_lines": [
          45.007334,
          44.307818,
          42.571665,
          41.240074
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}