{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2f36d651-08ed-484a-98d9-08404f36f8ce", "symbol": "AMZO34", "name": "Amazon.com, Inc.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 81.985, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Re-acceleration watch", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 69.906, "architecture_energy": 55.331, "architecture_maturity": 27.131, "architecture_confidence": 88.495, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.", "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.64, "rotation_up": 63.61, "upward_expansion": 83.6, "deceleration": 47.84, "rotation_down": 15.84, "downward_expansion": 12.6 }, "activity_lines": [ 65.911333, 64.269272, 64.07938, 62.604752 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 69.529999, "trend_reference": 61.037333, "distance_from_trend": 0.139139, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 53.893974, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.290126, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 8.493046, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.277655, "excess_performance": 0.334704, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.139139, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.002392, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.290126, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.010391, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.08493, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.156385, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.277655, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.252746, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6249875, "relative_activity": 2.274708, "balance": 2.252746, "dry_up": 1.830421, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.064433, "annualized_volatility": 0.354455, "from_high_reference": -0.045573, "from_low_reference": 0.360665 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 61.037333, "fair_value_reference": 53.893974, "structural_low": 51.099998, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.024553, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.027936, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.141392, "worst_return": -0.196121, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.000608, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.120862, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.293737, "worst_return": -0.200064, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.215836, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.117911, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.434773, "worst_return": -0.375503, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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60.870999, "fair_value": 53.266026, "relative_strength": -3.622565, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 19.575254, "energy": 12.131733, "activity_lines": [ 62.616666, 62.90109, 62.930999, 61.64301 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 59.200001, "volume": 3717203, "typical_volume": 2484276.8, "trend": 60.684666, "fair_value": 53.444679, "relative_strength": -8.923362, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 1.818475, "energy": 5.243302, "activity_lines": [ 61.545333, 62.079818, 62.717476, 61.535204 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 68.67, "volume": 5011119, "typical_volume": 2573575.7, "trend": 60.937333, "fair_value": 53.666154, "relative_strength": 3.629964, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.766763, "energy": 28.721513, "activity_lines": [ 63.876667, 63.114545, 63.38919, 62.050387 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 69.529999, "volume": 6249875, "typical_volume": 2747550.95, "trend": 61.037333, "fair_value": 53.893974, "relative_strength": 8.493046, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.905551, "energy": 55.330594, "activity_lines": [ 65.911333, 64.269272, 64.07938, 62.604752 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }