{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2f3899e0-103f-489d-b765-f47d1b6f09f6", "symbol": "TOA", "name": "TOA Paint (Thailand) Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 79.228, "architecture_energy": 87.748, "architecture_maturity": 19.182, "architecture_confidence": 76.087, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.68, "rotation_up": 84.6, "upward_expansion": 98.41, "deceleration": 39.99, "rotation_down": 8.98, "downward_expansion": 20.41 }, "activity_lines": [ 15.833334, 15.254546, 14.155733, 13.805667 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 16.200001, "trend_reference": 13.615953, "distance_from_trend": 0.189781, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 15.336434, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.056308, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 4.301856, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.160355, "excess_performance": -0.03197, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.189781, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.04562, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.056308, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.293669, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.043019, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.196973, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.160355, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.770843, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 17321600, "relative_activity": 1.412365, "balance": 1.770843, "dry_up": 1.223083, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.052707, "annualized_volatility": 0.357213, "from_high_reference": -0.024096, "from_low_reference": 0.416026 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.615953, "fair_value_reference": 15.336434, "structural_low": 11.5, "invalidation": 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13589155.0, "trend": 13.357646, "fair_value": 15.483715, "relative_strength": -0.913664, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 55.546143, "energy": 83.227751, "activity_lines": [ 15.113333, 14.163636, 13.374495, 13.343329 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 15.5, "volume": 17579700, "typical_volume": 13427920.0, "trend": 13.444487, "fair_value": 15.429191, "relative_strength": -2.309352, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.203781, "energy": 89.65119, "activity_lines": [ 15.366667, 14.532727, 13.613273, 13.481546 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 15.8, "volume": 9334700, "typical_volume": 12395710.0, "trend": 13.531633, "fair_value": 15.376589, "relative_strength": 0.856348, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.348571, "energy": 89.483159, "activity_lines": [ 15.586667, 14.887273, 13.873758, 13.633514 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 16.200001, "volume": 17321600, "typical_volume": 12264250.0, "trend": 13.615953, "fair_value": 15.336434, "relative_strength": 4.301856, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.228173, "energy": 87.747561, "activity_lines": [ 15.833334, 15.254546, 14.155733, 13.805667 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }