{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2f59ccfa-86c8-4607-acba-3a920c395ac6", "symbol": "TKLF", "name": "Yoshitsu Co Ltd ADR", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 92.634, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -50.231, "architecture_energy": 25.247, "architecture_maturity": 68.179, "architecture_confidence": 81.351, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 37.46, "rotation_up": 22.86, "upward_expansion": 6.51, "deceleration": 57.38, "rotation_down": 43.31, "downward_expansion": 70.84 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.0553, 2.068891, 2.07571, 2.182355 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 2.0099, "trend_reference": 2.387037, "distance_from_trend": -0.157994, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.107142, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.510633, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -36.71093, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.353751, "excess_performance": -0.541204, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.157994, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.094357, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.510633, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.080418, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.367109, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.10418, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.353751, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.404821, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 56621, "relative_activity": 0.076951, "balance": 0.404821, "dry_up": 0.091124, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.171474, "annualized_volatility": 0.424595, "from_high_reference": -0.534832, "from_low_reference": 0.141989 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.387037, "fair_value_reference": 4.107142, "structural_low": 1.76, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": 0.0263, "positive_rate": 0.583333, "directional_follow_through": 0.416667, "median_excess_return": 0.018124, "regime_survival": 0.875, "best_return": 1.292398, "worst_return": -0.691568, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.050515, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.062431, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 1.45002, "worst_return": -0.691372, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.116232, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.237958, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 1.410992, "worst_return": -0.724096, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.413193, "energy": 21.794416, "activity_lines": [ 2.103733, 2.059775, 2.124167, 2.286866 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 2.22, "volume": 119432, "typical_volume": 738242.15, "trend": 2.488373, "fair_value": 4.301117, "relative_strength": -30.798987, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -34.665423, "energy": 16.674134, "activity_lines": [ 2.153467, 2.092582, 2.121399, 2.268412 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.06, "volume": 47359, "typical_volume": 739370.0, "trend": 2.460707, "fair_value": 4.229066, "relative_strength": -33.646259, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -35.928429, "energy": 17.121863, "activity_lines": [ 2.134533, 2.093055, 2.106726, 2.240775 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.97, "volume": 44787, "typical_volume": 741119.75, "trend": 2.424707, "fair_value": 4.162848, "relative_strength": -35.847535, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.307797, "energy": 18.652914, "activity_lines": [ 2.0876, 2.077527, 2.087199, 2.209116 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.0099, "volume": 56621, "typical_volume": 735805.8, "trend": 2.387037, "fair_value": 4.107142, "relative_strength": -36.71093, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.231159, "energy": 25.247413, "activity_lines": [ 2.0553, 2.068891, 2.07571, 2.182355 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }