{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2f6f6f6c-a752-40a9-806b-aad75b95d672", "symbol": "603289", "name": "Tederic Machinery Co., LTD", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.151, "architecture_energy": 56.842, "architecture_maturity": 29.977, "architecture_confidence": 95.327, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.66, "rotation_up": 20.73, "upward_expansion": 9.89, "deceleration": 47.85, "rotation_down": 59.5, "downward_expansion": 83.22 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.0, 8.184909, 9.155138, 9.726079 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 8.27, "trend_reference": 10.310192, "distance_from_trend": -0.197881, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 9.280863, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.108919, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -19.273314, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.254283, "excess_performance": -0.211079, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.197881, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.053259, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.108919, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.414837, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.192733, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.270053, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.254283, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.540759, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 15276890, "relative_activity": 0.452041, "balance": 0.540759, "dry_up": 0.570749, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.12451, "annualized_volatility": 0.450219, "from_high_reference": -0.352782, "from_low_reference": 0.151811 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.310192, "fair_value_reference": 9.280863, "structural_low": 7.18, 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.854088, "energy": 78.788469, "activity_lines": [ 8.298, 8.814856, 9.828887, 10.220739 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.4, "volume": 22693152, "typical_volume": 37077347.25, "trend": 10.436858, "fair_value": 9.30745, "relative_strength": -26.086341, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.592492, "energy": 78.675726, "activity_lines": [ 7.958667, 8.449772, 9.539764, 10.019544 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.99, "volume": 15696917, "typical_volume": 34968119.35, "trend": 10.371858, "fair_value": 9.291925, "relative_strength": -20.184166, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.111929, "energy": 66.858773, "activity_lines": [ 7.930667, 8.255884, 9.326118, 9.861682 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.27, "volume": 15276890, "typical_volume": 33795399.85, "trend": 10.310192, "fair_value": 9.280863, "relative_strength": -19.273314, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.151311, "energy": 56.841579, "activity_lines": [ 8.0, 8.184909, 9.155138, 9.726079 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }