{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2f70129f-a94f-4492-b60f-389e5f9e04c7", "symbol": "5223", "name": "Anli International Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -60.004, "architecture_energy": 59.977, "architecture_maturity": 41.983, "architecture_confidence": 88.322, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.12, "rotation_up": 13.28, "upward_expansion": 11.97, "deceleration": 40.53, "rotation_down": 65.43, "downward_expansion": 85.3 }, "activity_lines": [ 23.29, 23.817273, 24.383809, 25.080645 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 23.5, "trend_reference": 26.105, "distance_from_trend": -0.099789, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 31.588141, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.25605, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -38.448484, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.166667, "excess_performance": -0.608039, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.099789, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.047089, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.25605, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.005718, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.384485, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.028151, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.166667, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.792142, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 83002, "relative_activity": 0.439686, "balance": 0.792142, "dry_up": 0.637016, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.068903, "annualized_volatility": 0.237156, "from_high_reference": -0.253968, "from_low_reference": 0.08046 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 26.105, "fair_value_reference": 31.588141, "structural_low": 21.75, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 36, "median_return": -0.007444, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.583333, "median_excess_return": -0.03318, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.220807, "worst_return": -0.152682, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.043819, "positive_rate": 0.384615, "directional_follow_through": 0.615385, "median_excess_return": -0.077498, "regime_survival": 0.692308, "best_return": 0.163522, "worst_return": -0.186966, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.05892, "positive_rate": 0.142857, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": -0.061032, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.024967, "worst_return": -0.183155, "sufficient": true }, { 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"regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.783196, "energy": 43.127931, "activity_lines": [ 24.71, 24.975454, 25.249286, 25.953871 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 22.9, "volume": 292010, "typical_volume": 229963.5, "trend": 26.645, "fair_value": 31.909936, "relative_strength": -39.486517, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.347563, "energy": 62.552143, "activity_lines": [ 24.033333, 24.602727, 24.96, 25.69957 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 22.950001, "volume": 64000, "typical_volume": 212312.6, "trend": 26.451667, "fair_value": 31.801557, "relative_strength": -37.818664, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.343875, "energy": 68.304081, "activity_lines": [ 23.553333, 24.261818, 24.707619, 25.461183 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 23.35, "volume": 42000, "typical_volume": 197781.25, "trend": 26.296667, "fair_value": 31.692384, "relative_strength": -37.494635, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.753615, "energy": 67.337912, "activity_lines": [ 23.33, 24.013636, 24.527857, 25.261075 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 23.5, "volume": 83002, "typical_volume": 188775.6, "trend": 26.105, "fair_value": 31.588141, "relative_strength": -38.448484, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.004057, "energy": 59.97716, "activity_lines": [ 23.29, 23.817273, 24.383809, 25.080645 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }