{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2f773a10-f2ce-4164-9136-c5d1e545a579", "symbol": "4440", "name": "Yi Shin Textile Industrial Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1a", "phase_label": "Stage 1A \u00b7 Bottoming", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 58.446, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 9.199, "architecture_energy": 7.128, "architecture_maturity": 17.003, "architecture_confidence": 62.761, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 55.04, "rotation_up": 27.19, "upward_expansion": 41.93, "deceleration": 73.78, "rotation_down": 30.01, "downward_expansion": 35.93 }, "activity_lines": [ 17.48, 17.498182, 17.621667, 17.565715 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 17.450001, "trend_reference": 17.368746, "distance_from_trend": 0.004678, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 19.921373, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.124056, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -28.157084, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.07301, "excess_performance": -0.368362, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.004678, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.008692, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.124056, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.029304, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.281571, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.021707, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.07301, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.405249, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 450206, "relative_activity": 1.244529, "balance": 0.405249, "dry_up": 0.685797, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.040335, "annualized_volatility": 0.160055, "from_high_reference": -0.176082, "from_low_reference": 0.108454 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 17.368746, "fair_value_reference": 19.921373, "structural_low": 16.120843, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.005277, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": -0.03658, "regime_survival": 0.181818, "best_return": 0.049133, "worst_return": -0.201468, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.092348, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.099055, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.116053, "worst_return": -0.285524, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.030042, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.112702, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.089088, "worst_return": -0.245087, "sufficient": 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"relative_strength": -28.591521, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 24.433062, "energy": 15.759556, "activity_lines": [ 17.529999, 17.633636, 17.696441, 17.496381 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 17.5, "volume": 522120, "typical_volume": 430655.2, "trend": 17.247983, "fair_value": 20.115057, "relative_strength": -25.728757, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 12.813818, "energy": 6.822915, "activity_lines": [ 17.569999, 17.580909, 17.68887, 17.513471 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 17.5, "volume": 195022, "typical_volume": 415803.8, "trend": 17.26559, "fair_value": 20.062964, "relative_strength": -26.691241, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 22.801071, "energy": 13.192935, "activity_lines": [ 17.586666, 17.539091, 17.676982, 17.52973 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 17.549999, "volume": 213000, "typical_volume": 398994.35, "trend": 17.29747, "fair_value": 20.013375, "relative_strength": -24.886123, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 24.847121, "energy": 13.634363, "activity_lines": [ 17.593333, 17.527272, 17.666666, 17.548079 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 17.450001, "volume": 134115, "typical_volume": 361492.2, "trend": 17.329169, "fair_value": 19.967237, "relative_strength": -26.352088, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 19.993176, "energy": 9.670703, "activity_lines": [ 17.533333, 17.51, 17.644524, 17.55792 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 17.450001, "volume": 450206, "typical_volume": 361748.0, "trend": 17.368746, "fair_value": 19.921373, "relative_strength": -28.157084, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 9.198901, "energy": 7.12782, "activity_lines": [ 17.48, 17.498182, 17.621667, 17.565715 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }