{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2f83ad3c-1a40-401c-8f03-514e47920ab1", "symbol": "RYAM", "name": "Rayonier Advanced Materials", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 63.405, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -22.559, "architecture_energy": 18.976, "architecture_maturity": 46.711, "architecture_confidence": 47.177, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 54.1, "rotation_up": 37.74, "upward_expansion": 22.23, "deceleration": 40.69, "rotation_down": 23.79, "downward_expansion": 56.23 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.654, 8.371455, 8.568476, 8.834344 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 9.02, "trend_reference": 8.966667, "distance_from_trend": 0.005948, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 6.195, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.456013, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 2.321474, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.119107, "excess_performance": -0.006518, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.005948, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.086869, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.456013, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.111104, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.023215, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.191886, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.119107, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.346457, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7231260, "relative_activity": 1.477432, "balance": 1.346457, "dry_up": 1.034398, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.10911, "annualized_volatility": 0.56028, "from_high_reference": -0.238819, "from_low_reference": 1.112412 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.966667, "fair_value_reference": 6.195, "structural_low": 6.85, "invalidation": "A sustained 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7.31, "volume": 3817071, "typical_volume": 5490997.0, "trend": 8.639, "fair_value": 6.083013, "relative_strength": -12.190174, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -45.478486, "energy": 56.369935, "activity_lines": [ 7.776667, 8.144364, 8.76119, 8.866624 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 8.23, "volume": 4068469, "typical_volume": 5097546.0, "trend": 8.723, "fair_value": 6.104295, "relative_strength": -0.353143, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -32.757212, "energy": 52.00561, "activity_lines": [ 7.834667, 8.110909, 8.662429, 8.840237 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 8.38, "volume": 4825148, "typical_volume": 4941759.5, "trend": 8.807667, "fair_value": 6.128333, "relative_strength": 1.275572, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -29.478921, "energy": 42.739923, "activity_lines": [ 7.964667, 8.121636, 8.583857, 8.818108 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.95, "volume": 4126481, "typical_volume": 4799466.75, "trend": 8.910667, "fair_value": 6.158205, "relative_strength": 5.886248, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -35.137746, "energy": 20.809615, "activity_lines": [ 8.329333, 8.242182, 8.567238, 8.82729 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.02, "volume": 7231260, "typical_volume": 4894477.9, "trend": 8.966667, "fair_value": 6.195, "relative_strength": 2.321474, "stage": 2, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -22.558734, "energy": 18.976432, "activity_lines": [ 8.654, 8.371455, 8.568476, 8.834344 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }