{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2f9b7965-7b3e-4e76-af7f-7ffe41fcec9d", "symbol": "ALCAF", "name": "CAFOM", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 47.049, "architecture_energy": 40.109, "architecture_maturity": 72.017, "architecture_confidence": 89.23, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.31, "rotation_up": 36.8, "upward_expansion": 66.88, "deceleration": 88.33, "rotation_down": 27.13, "downward_expansion": 19.21 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.073333, 13.173636, 12.47619, 12.086559 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 13.0, "trend_reference": 11.753333, "distance_from_trend": 0.106069, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 9.551815, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.360998, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 7.219449, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.101695, "excess_performance": 0.048384, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.106069, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.058382, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.360998, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.173554, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.072194, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.020098, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.101695, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.726444, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 24188, "relative_activity": 7.042143, "balance": 1.726444, "dry_up": 2.347987, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.052367, "annualized_volatility": 0.37823, "from_high_reference": -0.115646, "from_low_reference": 0.477273 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11.753333, "fair_value_reference": 9.551815, "structural_low": 10.4, "invalidation": "A 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11.71 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 13.25, "volume": 1466, "typical_volume": 2456.95, "trend": 11.556667, "fair_value": 9.485644, "relative_strength": 15.756155, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.516487, "energy": 88.805165, "activity_lines": [ 13.62, 12.925455, 12.11381, 11.824516 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 13.05, "volume": 4045, "typical_volume": 2503.45, "trend": 11.633333, "fair_value": 9.510134, "relative_strength": 12.924724, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.299081, "energy": 66.647736, "activity_lines": [ 13.48, 13.058182, 12.251429, 11.92086 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 12.9, "volume": 2560, "typical_volume": 2549.6, "trend": 11.698333, "fair_value": 9.530403, "relative_strength": 9.400853, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.008929, "energy": 56.02571, "activity_lines": [ 13.206667, 13.125455, 12.364524, 12.002581 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 13.0, "volume": 24188, "typical_volume": 3434.75, "trend": 11.753333, "fair_value": 9.551815, "relative_strength": 7.219449, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.049285, "energy": 40.108736, "activity_lines": [ 13.073333, 13.173636, 12.47619, 12.086559 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }