{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "2fa125fa-748a-48b1-a6e6-1000e306dcee",
    "symbol": "SIAM",
    "name": "Siam Steel International Public Company Limited",
    "exchange": "SET",
    "country": "TH",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SET.BK",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 58.469,
    "architecture_energy": 43.987,
    "architecture_maturity": 27.675,
    "architecture_confidence": 76.364,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 11.52,
        "rotation_up": 55.72,
        "upward_expansion": 82.32,
        "deceleration": 51.67,
        "rotation_down": 21.22,
        "downward_expansion": 6.65
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.78,
        0.773455,
        0.756714,
        0.739355
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 0.78,
    "trend_reference": 0.718,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.086351,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 0.989328,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.211586,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -9.212164,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.130435,
    "excess_performance": -0.06189,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.086351,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.020369,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.211586,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.063679,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.092122,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.015655,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.130435,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.242546,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 168600,
      "relative_activity": 0.413296,
      "balance": 1.242546,
      "dry_up": 0.853618,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.054241,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.220967,
      "from_high_reference": -0.380952,
      "from_low_reference": 0.278689
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.718,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.989328,
      "structural_low": 0.63,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.051282,
        "positive_rate": 0.2,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.2,
        "median_excess_return": -0.00599,
        "regime_survival": 0.6,
        "best_return": 0.04,
        "worst_return": -0.277778,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.20765,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
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        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.333333,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.288757,
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        "median_excess_return": -0.310448,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.197885,
        "worst_return": -0.37963,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.220166,
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        "median_excess_return": -0.044438,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.220166,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 417260.0,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 458910.0,
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        "gate": "mixed",
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        "activity_lines": [
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          0.705048,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 244700,
        "typical_volume": 445770.0,
        "trend": 0.703,
        "fair_value": 1.02878,
        "relative_strength": -16.083247,
        "stage": 1,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 52.993508,
        "energy": 46.190087,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 437295.0,
        "trend": 0.702667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 40.28673,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 419645.0,
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        "relative_strength": -12.306032,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 416720.0,
        "trend": 0.709,
        "fair_value": 1.006146,
        "relative_strength": -11.224792,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.664306,
        "energy": 52.561852,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 156400,
        "typical_volume": 412320.0,
        "trend": 0.711333,
        "fair_value": 1.001989,
        "relative_strength": -11.741659,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.455595,
        "energy": 54.941415,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.772,
          0.761818,
          0.741095,
          0.726452
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.78,
        "volume": 949400,
        "typical_volume": 430395.0,
        "trend": 0.713333,
        "fair_value": 0.997769,
        "relative_strength": -11.571027,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.583678,
        "energy": 50.10473,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.776667,
          0.766545,
          0.746857,
          0.730882
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.78,
        "volume": 118500,
        "typical_volume": 413745.0,
        "trend": 0.715333,
        "fair_value": 0.993548,
        "relative_strength": -10.162224,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.386959,
        "energy": 40.467702,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.779333,
          0.770364,
          0.752095,
          0.735183
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.78,
        "volume": 168600,
        "typical_volume": 407940.0,
        "trend": 0.718,
        "fair_value": 0.989328,
        "relative_strength": -9.212164,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 58.469288,
        "energy": 43.987161,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.78,
          0.773455,
          0.756714,
          0.739355
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}