{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2fcf95ac-df27-4538-b3f9-560af503d0c3", "symbol": "SU", "name": "Suncor Energy Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 55.229, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 32.938, "architecture_energy": 32.469, "architecture_maturity": 49.741, "architecture_confidence": 57.962, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.17, "rotation_up": 62.45, "upward_expansion": 67.67, "deceleration": 63.84, "rotation_down": 11.97, "downward_expansion": 13.34 }, "activity_lines": [ 63.410667, 61.232182, 61.71288, 61.494849 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 60.1, "trend_reference": 59.98965, "distance_from_trend": 0.001839, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 40.045052, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.50081, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 3.419467, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.133081, "excess_performance": 0.007456, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.001839, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.10298, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.50081, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.213556, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.034195, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.20414, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.133081, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.988656, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 31994734, "relative_activity": 1.523582, "balance": 0.988656, "dry_up": 1.043918, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.073923, "annualized_volatility": 0.370302, "from_high_reference": -0.139329, "from_low_reference": 0.629704 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 59.98965, "fair_value_reference": 40.045052, "structural_low": 52.991948, "invalidation": "A sustained 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"close": 59.25, "volume": 22290868, "typical_volume": 22375999.5, "trend": 57.323238, "fair_value": 39.099604, "relative_strength": 7.131841, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -22.093859, "energy": 42.026918, "activity_lines": [ 56.694, 58.817013, 61.009676, 60.075464 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 62.43, "volume": 19163109, "typical_volume": 22679503.25, "trend": 57.999335, "fair_value": 39.333275, "relative_strength": 13.949671, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 10.603898, "energy": 23.299558, "activity_lines": [ 58.495333, 59.120057, 61.100819, 60.404933 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 65.81, "volume": 18108900, "typical_volume": 21592681.5, "trend": 58.776269, "fair_value": 39.581157, "relative_strength": 19.926323, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.910718, "energy": 26.063089, "activity_lines": [ 61.368, 60.058746, 61.481928, 60.908847 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 67.28, "volume": 18420993, "typical_volume": 21068368.8, "trend": 59.520701, "fair_value": 39.83897, "relative_strength": 20.381109, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.860474, "energy": 42.862369, "activity_lines": [ 64.032, 61.301659, 61.958548, 61.457474 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 60.1, "volume": 31994734, "typical_volume": 20999680.4, "trend": 59.98965, "fair_value": 40.045052, "relative_strength": 3.419467, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 32.937558, "energy": 32.469017, "activity_lines": [ 63.410667, 61.232182, 61.71288, 61.494849 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }