{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "2fcfe493-7180-4be8-962e-c80dbf7aee37",
    "symbol": "FCBC",
    "name": "First Community Bancshares Inc",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 74.321,
    "architecture_energy": 74.116,
    "architecture_maturity": 62.072,
    "architecture_confidence": 82.626,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 6.28,
        "rotation_up": 75.66,
        "upward_expansion": 91.09,
        "deceleration": 43.63,
        "rotation_down": 11.42,
        "downward_expansion": 15.42
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        43.663345
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 48.21,
    "trend_reference": 41.888889,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.150902,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 34.851379,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.383302,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 11.387706,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.184962,
    "excess_performance": -0.002492,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.150902,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.118061,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.383302,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.084701,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.113877,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.116372,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.184962,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.962786,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 419717,
      "relative_activity": 1.01916,
      "balance": 1.962786,
      "dry_up": 1.123861,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.050665,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.188282,
      "from_high_reference": -0.018998,
      "from_low_reference": 0.617219
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 34.851379,
      "structural_low": 37.725864,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 26,
        "median_return": 0.002244,
        "positive_rate": 0.538462,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.538462,
        "median_excess_return": 0.003114,
        "regime_survival": 0.769231,
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        "worst_return": -0.153392,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.151561,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": -0.049065,
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 325471,
        "typical_volume": 404449.25,
        "trend": 40.311541,
        "fair_value": 34.473661,
        "relative_strength": 7.942441,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.545927,
        "energy": 42.58787,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 48.150408,
        "volume": 602029,
        "typical_volume": 416617.05,
        "trend": 40.840511,
        "fair_value": 34.600713,
        "relative_strength": 18.188066,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 53.318342,
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          45.672639,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 47.395575,
        "volume": 504126,
        "typical_volume": 419541.15,
        "trend": 41.368197,
        "fair_value": 34.722605,
        "relative_strength": 15.397692,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.932195,
        "energy": 55.475822,
        "activity_lines": [
          46.375888,
          45.455398,
          44.288927,
          43.221939
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 48.21,
        "volume": 419717,
        "typical_volume": 411826.35,
        "trend": 41.888889,
        "fair_value": 34.851379,
        "relative_strength": 11.387706,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.321395,
        "energy": 74.116147,
        "activity_lines": [
          47.200907,
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        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}