{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2fdcaee2-b466-4421-891d-12678f7aeacc", "symbol": "PCT", "name": "Purecycle Technologies Holdings Corp", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -51.651, "architecture_energy": 50.301, "architecture_maturity": 15.926, "architecture_confidence": 72.336, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.82, "rotation_up": 7.66, "upward_expansion": 14.89, "deceleration": 48.82, "rotation_down": 70.89, "downward_expansion": 78.55 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.564667, 7.053273, 8.135095, 8.037054 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 7.21, "trend_reference": 8.231333, "distance_from_trend": -0.124079, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 8.342244, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.135724, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -34.596478, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.25285, "excess_performance": -0.440303, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.124079, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.051799, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.135724, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.271427, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.345965, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.094506, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.25285, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.544515, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 28612338, "relative_activity": 1.183827, "balance": 0.544515, "dry_up": 0.905742, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.251254, "annualized_volatility": 1.010466, "from_high_reference": -0.534538, "from_low_reference": 0.462475 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.231333, "fair_value_reference": 8.342244, "structural_low": 4.93, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": 0.012436, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.010141, "regime_survival": 0.727273, "best_return": 0.576336, "worst_return": -0.368912, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.31619, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": 0.317596, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.676963, "worst_return": -0.343964, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.07014, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.118693, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.790219, "worst_return": 0.01139, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 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"energy": 30.202494, "activity_lines": [ 7.772667, 9.069, 8.774595, 8.578312 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 6.045, "volume": 25257770, "typical_volume": 25187586.45, "trend": 8.516667, "fair_value": 8.433462, "relative_strength": -45.97502, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -43.723333, "energy": 40.373195, "activity_lines": [ 7.102333, 8.374909, 8.583095, 8.412753 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 5.85, "volume": 15953169, "typical_volume": 24693996.15, "trend": 8.411333, "fair_value": 8.398654, "relative_strength": -45.652404, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.198393, "energy": 60.730612, "activity_lines": [ 6.556, 7.708727, 8.374286, 8.24071 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.37, "volume": 17741557, "typical_volume": 24421584.35, "trend": 8.325333, "fair_value": 8.369167, "relative_strength": -40.149188, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.845438, "energy": 58.635958, "activity_lines": [ 6.373, 7.259636, 8.216143, 8.109011 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.21, "volume": 28612338, "typical_volume": 24169367.65, "trend": 8.231333, "fair_value": 8.342244, "relative_strength": -34.596478, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.651126, "energy": 50.30054, "activity_lines": [ 6.564667, 7.053273, 8.135095, 8.037054 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }