{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "2fe62c4d-b1f3-45ab-91fe-86cf7a81e26e",
    "symbol": "AAV",
    "name": "Asia Aviation Public Company Limited",
    "exchange": "SET",
    "country": "TH",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SET.BK",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 76.048,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -57.39,
    "architecture_energy": 56.391,
    "architecture_maturity": 40.218,
    "architecture_confidence": 88.727,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 30.08,
        "rotation_up": 12.45,
        "upward_expansion": 11.4,
        "deceleration": 39.53,
        "rotation_down": 64.02,
        "downward_expansion": 84.73
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        1.061333,
        1.073273,
        1.077619,
        1.091742
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 1.06,
    "trend_reference": 1.119,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.052726,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 1.807564,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.413575,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -21.300057,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.116667,
    "excess_performance": -0.308992,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.052726,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.017847,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.413575,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.036441,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.213001,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.011994,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.116667,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.898383,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 66741100,
      "relative_activity": 0.322522,
      "balance": 0.898383,
      "dry_up": 0.607217,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.034107,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.309117,
      "from_high_reference": -0.258741,
      "from_low_reference": 0.081633
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 1.119,
      "fair_value_reference": 1.807564,
      "structural_low": 0.98,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 25,
        "median_return": 0.009346,
        "positive_rate": 0.52,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.44,
        "median_excess_return": 0.003341,
        "regime_survival": 0.72,
        "best_return": 0.29,
        "worst_return": -0.202247,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": 0.012177,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.017427,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.303922,
        "worst_return": -0.421569,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.04366,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.00041,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
        "best_return": 0.101717,
        "worst_return": -0.397059,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.159739,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
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        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.367647,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-05-10",
        "end": "2024-06-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
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      },
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      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 256306185.0,
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        "stage": 4,
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        "activity_lines": [
          1.072667,
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          1.082619,
          1.1
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 1.06,
        "volume": 90175200,
        "typical_volume": 223916585.0,
        "trend": 1.123,
        "fair_value": 1.818077,
        "relative_strength": -22.458619,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -57.139428,
        "energy": 49.620342,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.066,
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          1.079952,
          1.095806
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 1.06,
        "volume": 66741100,
        "typical_volume": 206935160.0,
        "trend": 1.119,
        "fair_value": 1.807564,
        "relative_strength": -21.300057,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -57.389903,
        "energy": 56.390519,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.061333,
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          1.077619,
          1.091742
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}