{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2fe74b5c-b56a-439b-8c2f-ce4ae0f7fe7c", "symbol": "IMED", "name": "Imed Infinity Medical-Limited Partnership", "exchange": "TLV", "country": "IL", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "TA35.TA", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -41.892, "architecture_energy": 15.289, "architecture_maturity": 52.606, "architecture_confidence": 79.257, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.05, "rotation_up": 18.65, "upward_expansion": 0.1, "deceleration": 60.96, "rotation_down": 42.43, "downward_expansion": 73.43 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.963133, 1.037764, 1.085386, 1.106075 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.929, "trend_reference": 1.1365, "distance_from_trend": -0.182578, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1.082981, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.142182, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -32.266783, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.282625, "excess_performance": -0.311526, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.182578, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.03142, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.142182, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.159468, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.322668, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.032779, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.282625, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.544101, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 442, "relative_activity": 0.02832, "balance": 0.544101, "dry_up": 0.335608, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 8.374099, "annualized_volatility": 0.268309, "from_high_reference": -0.990865, "from_low_reference": 0.055682 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.1365, "fair_value_reference": 1.082981, "structural_low": 0.88, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 32, "median_return": -0.017998, "positive_rate": 0.40625, "directional_follow_through": 0.53125, "median_excess_return": -0.021287, "regime_survival": 0.78125, "best_return": 0.445137, "worst_return": -0.368365, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.111522, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.128051, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 1.215126, "worst_return": -0.465889, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.057473, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.168038, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.183124, "worst_return": -0.446978, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.123693, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.404026, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.126571, "worst_return": -0.563664, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-07-05", "end": "2024-12-27", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.084034, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-01-03", "end": "2025-01-03", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-01-10", "end": "2025-02-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.112397, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-02-14", "end": "2025-02-28", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.006211, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-03-07", "end": "2025-05-16", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.450106, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-06-06", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.025144, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-06-13", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.064254, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2025-11-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.094906, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-11-21", "end": "2025-12-05", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.015126, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-12-12", "end": "2026-02-13", "tenure": 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"typical_volume": 15859.4, "trend": 1.169267, "fair_value": 1.087731, "relative_strength": -16.446622, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 23.911692, "energy": 51.356249, "activity_lines": [ 1.174, 1.165564, 1.151948, 1.158258 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.017, "volume": 6280, "typical_volume": 15499.95, "trend": 1.165067, "fair_value": 1.086891, "relative_strength": -28.39122, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.258577, "energy": 46.519969, "activity_lines": [ 1.121667, 1.1408, 1.139924, 1.148434 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.942, "volume": 14230, "typical_volume": 15585.4, "trend": 1.157467, "fair_value": 1.0855, "relative_strength": -34.626037, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -36.583101, "energy": 13.115542, "activity_lines": [ 1.0548, 1.104055, 1.121262, 1.134043 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.942, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 15585.4, "trend": 1.147033, "fair_value": 1.084333, "relative_strength": -32.101061, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -39.210192, "energy": 14.206448, "activity_lines": [ 1.0034, 1.070327, 1.103495, 1.120142 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.929, "volume": 442, "typical_volume": 15607.5, "trend": 1.1365, "fair_value": 1.082981, "relative_strength": -32.266783, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.89209, "energy": 15.288566, "activity_lines": [ 0.963133, 1.037764, 1.085386, 1.106075 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }