{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2ff2b8db-54d0-4c36-b4da-c4d06c4f8889", "symbol": "2726", "name": "Yummy Town (Cayman) Holdings Corporation", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -67.068, "architecture_energy": 66.115, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 92.101, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 6.23, "rotation_up": 16.27, "upward_expansion": 13.68, "deceleration": 40.3, "rotation_down": 70.07, "downward_expansion": 91.68 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.761333, 8.969273, 9.379476, 9.670946 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 8.7, "trend_reference": 10.215, "distance_from_trend": -0.148311, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 22.095026, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.606246, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -52.884075, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.309524, "excess_performance": -0.750896, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.148311, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.141678, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.606246, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.012543, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.528841, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.060159, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.309524, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.597096, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 97095, "relative_activity": 0.279578, "balance": 0.597096, "dry_up": 0.421568, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.075597, "annualized_volatility": 0.283049, "from_high_reference": -0.540897, "from_low_reference": 0.027155 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.215, "fair_value_reference": 22.095026, "structural_low": 8.47, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 50, "median_return": -0.0428, "positive_rate": 0.28, "directional_follow_through": 0.72, "median_excess_return": -0.055003, "regime_survival": 0.96, "best_return": 0.256461, "worst_return": -0.275947, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.108818, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.184112, "regime_survival": 0.866667, "best_return": 0.368557, "worst_return": -0.406919, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.215735, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.286289, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.303093, "worst_return": -0.547776, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"2026-07-31", "close": 8.67, "volume": 113493, "typical_volume": 357459.6, "trend": 10.504, "fair_value": 22.477268, "relative_strength": -52.57031, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.510249, "energy": 69.905211, "activity_lines": [ 8.947333, 9.237273, 9.585286, 9.895183 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.68, "volume": 234596, "typical_volume": 350236.05, "trend": 10.351667, "fair_value": 22.284707, "relative_strength": -52.550479, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.748385, "energy": 68.646664, "activity_lines": [ 8.824667, 9.085818, 9.477571, 9.777505 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 8.7, "volume": 97095, "typical_volume": 347290.75, "trend": 10.215, "fair_value": 22.095026, "relative_strength": -52.884075, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.068339, "energy": 66.114528, "activity_lines": [ 8.761333, 8.969273, 9.379476, 9.670946 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }