{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2ffd560c-dee9-4ec3-9f2e-64cbfc1c6e17", "symbol": "300798", "name": "JiangSu Jinji Industrial Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -50.678, "architecture_energy": 42.872, "architecture_maturity": 38.686, "architecture_confidence": 76.241, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 22.63, "rotation_up": 25.97, "upward_expansion": 18.45, "deceleration": 59.37, "rotation_down": 46.37, "downward_expansion": 70.78 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.854, 6.759818, 7.583905, 8.136043 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 7.45, "trend_reference": 8.585667, "distance_from_trend": -0.132275, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 7.772756, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.041524, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -13.368873, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.227178, "excess_performance": -0.234578, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.132275, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.024578, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.041524, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.444372, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.133689, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.148567, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.227178, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.676909, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 244615855, "relative_activity": 1.910011, "balance": 0.676909, "dry_up": 1.238292, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.126794, "annualized_volatility": 0.591457, "from_high_reference": -0.444858, "from_low_reference": 0.325623 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.585667, "fair_value_reference": 7.772756, "structural_low": 5.62, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": 0.002714, "positive_rate": 0.521739, "directional_follow_through": 0.478261, "median_excess_return": -0.017939, "regime_survival": 0.826087, "best_return": 0.219737, "worst_return": -0.178133, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.033011, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.036032, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.301442, "worst_return": -0.228188, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.012403, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.07767, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.187719, "worst_return": -0.21122, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"2026-07-24", "close": 5.98, "volume": 81855106, "typical_volume": 129633377.15, "trend": 8.567667, "fair_value": 7.766025, "relative_strength": -28.950194, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.164313, "energy": 86.981082, "activity_lines": [ 6.206667, 6.611273, 7.808429, 8.290366 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.3, "volume": 242867461, "typical_volume": 128502058.4, "trend": 8.574333, "fair_value": 7.768782, "relative_strength": -11.277542, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.388817, "energy": 65.382109, "activity_lines": [ 6.528, 6.656727, 7.683143, 8.208581 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.45, "volume": 244615855, "typical_volume": 128070392.25, "trend": 8.585667, "fair_value": 7.772756, "relative_strength": -13.368873, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.677864, "energy": 42.872066, "activity_lines": [ 6.854, 6.759818, 7.583905, 8.136043 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }