{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3004710b-6b76-44ee-a384-738154e077c4", "symbol": "QGRW", "name": "WisdomTree US Quality Growth UCITS ETF - USD Acc", "exchange": "EBS", "country": "CH", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SSMI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 92.191, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 83.278, "architecture_energy": 55.057, "architecture_maturity": 51.177, "architecture_confidence": 62.232, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 27.41, "rotation_up": 50.0, "upward_expansion": 74.32, "deceleration": 69.31, "rotation_down": 28.28, "downward_expansion": 12.32 }, "activity_lines": [ 41.545, 41.340545, 41.135333, 40.129355 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 43.095001, "trend_reference": 38.98, "distance_from_trend": 0.105567, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 34.405392, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.252565, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 1.908262, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.182467, "excess_performance": 0.099583, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.105567, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.030794, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.252565, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.00933, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.019083, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.095906, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.182467, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 6.614823, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 6.614823, "dry_up": 0.0, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.022901, "annualized_volatility": 0.210355, "from_high_reference": -0.001275, "from_low_reference": 0.29648 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 38.98, "fair_value_reference": 34.405392, "structural_low": 33.240002, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.022152, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.016738, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.022152, "worst_return": -0.022152, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-03-06", "end": "2026-03-20", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.034099, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-03-27", "end": "2026-04-24", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.176435, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-05-01", "end": "2026-05-15", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.055353, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-05-22", "end": "2026-06-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.040033, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-07-03", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.043336, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2024-08-30", "close": 28.35, "volume": 197, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-09-06", "close": 26.825001, "volume": 1448, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-09-13", "close": 28.24, "volume": 414, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-09-20", "close": 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41.485001, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 751.55, "trend": 38.657667, "fair_value": 34.194748, "relative_strength": -0.593756, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.708521, "energy": 45.733022, "activity_lines": [ 41.289334, 41.380455, 40.616762, 39.622505 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 40.584999, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 730.25, "trend": 38.742667, "fair_value": 34.25865, "relative_strength": -2.61612, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.815343, "energy": 41.339203, "activity_lines": [ 41.075, 41.198909, 40.736762, 39.74685 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 40.389999, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 715.7, "trend": 38.8135, "fair_value": 34.319356, "relative_strength": -3.135301, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.430095, "energy": 32.43359, "activity_lines": [ 40.858666, 41.008363, 40.818095, 39.853129 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 43.095001, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 677.85, "trend": 38.98, "fair_value": 34.405392, "relative_strength": 1.908262, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.277582, "energy": 55.056757, "activity_lines": [ 41.545, 41.340545, 41.135333, 40.129355 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }