{ "ticker": { "uuid": "301a8614-8399-4d43-9973-89c7069aa19d", "symbol": "300721", "name": "Jiang Su Yida Chemical Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 2.329, "architecture_energy": 22.293, "architecture_maturity": 61.903, "architecture_confidence": 75.894, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 53.14, "rotation_up": 14.71, "upward_expansion": 41.91, "deceleration": 87.31, "rotation_down": 46.48, "downward_expansion": 35.91 }, "activity_lines": [ 22.094666, 25.217272, 26.123, 24.096172 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 23.309999, "trend_reference": 21.354333, "distance_from_trend": 0.091582, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 15.142899, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.539335, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 25.681853, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.328962, "excess_performance": 0.321562, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.091582, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.264792, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.539335, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.131085, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.256819, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.184527, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.328962, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.153432, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 62475600, "relative_activity": 0.847031, "balance": 1.153432, "dry_up": 0.928092, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.276078, "annualized_volatility": 1.08934, "from_high_reference": -0.412402, "from_low_reference": 0.904412 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 21.354333, "fair_value_reference": 15.142899, "structural_low": 12.84, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.011063, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.016569, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.392281, "worst_return": -0.155039, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.056809, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.09125, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.980351, "worst_return": -0.109661, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.371565, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.292326, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.366043, "worst_return": -0.377087, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }