{ "ticker": { "uuid": "301e1a90-b650-42fa-aa9e-513ede372e19", "symbol": "301269", "name": "Empyrean Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 80.066, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -20.044, "architecture_energy": 21.92, "architecture_maturity": 19.879, "architecture_confidence": 63.399, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 53.15, "rotation_up": 19.91, "upward_expansion": 10.14, "deceleration": 61.6, "rotation_down": 55.09, "downward_expansion": 44.8 }, "activity_lines": [ 93.653334, 98.013819, 98.589737, 97.396207 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 94.690002, "trend_reference": 98.22609, "distance_from_trend": -0.035999, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 101.361393, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.065818, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -13.408195, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.080367, "excess_performance": -0.087766, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.035999, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.027876, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.065818, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.035917, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.134082, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.1892, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.080367, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.579215, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 42633773, "relative_activity": 0.811993, "balance": 2.579215, "dry_up": 1.108014, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.157769, "annualized_volatility": 0.52702, "from_high_reference": -0.351343, "from_low_reference": 0.182222 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 98.22609, "fair_value_reference": 101.361393, "structural_low": 80.094929, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.002753, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.034847, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.040754, "worst_return": -0.061618, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.086329, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.172272, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.004753, "worst_return": -0.149594, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.019484, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.258717, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": -0.018157, "worst_return": -0.020811, "sufficient": 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"2026-07-17", "close": 97.5, "volume": 93970146, "typical_volume": 48364578.8, "trend": 99.747134, "fair_value": 101.72805, "relative_strength": -9.248614, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 17.702106, "energy": 17.162111, "activity_lines": [ 105.128667, 104.591635, 99.903995, 98.955749 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 91.449997, "volume": 57887766, "typical_volume": 50358156.7, "trend": 99.356312, "fair_value": 101.569971, "relative_strength": -14.5648, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -7.869569, "energy": 7.044592, "activity_lines": [ 100.249999, 102.27032, 99.469183, 98.420449 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 87.400002, "volume": 38213650, "typical_volume": 51511194.8, "trend": 98.609447, "fair_value": 101.401374, "relative_strength": -16.458046, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -18.401679, "energy": 16.673325, "activity_lines": [ 94.858, 99.287091, 98.667681, 97.649075 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 94.690002, "volume": 42633773, "typical_volume": 52505071.2, "trend": 98.22609, "fair_value": 101.361393, "relative_strength": -13.408195, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -20.044137, "energy": 21.919799, "activity_lines": [ 93.653334, 98.013819, 98.589737, 97.396207 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }