{ "ticker": { "uuid": "30248e0f-2128-44bc-ac47-77926ff19b95", "symbol": "AI1", "name": "C3.ai, Inc.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -30.981, "architecture_energy": 23.598, "architecture_maturity": 9.807, "architecture_confidence": 89.562, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 45.96, "rotation_up": 17.0, "upward_expansion": 4.02, "deceleration": 47.87, "rotation_down": 51.73, "downward_expansion": 75.02 }, "activity_lines": [ 159.059998, 161.004545, 163.99319, 164.01172 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 177.619995, "trend_reference": 169.058333, "distance_from_trend": 0.050643, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 400.354203, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.556343, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -22.840584, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.00288, "excess_performance": 0.057546, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.050643, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.156219, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.556343, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.068798, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.228406, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.30509, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.00288, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.524833, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1500, "relative_activity": 3.559563, "balance": 1.524833, "dry_up": 1.114143, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.090392, "annualized_volatility": 0.76423, "from_high_reference": -0.550329, "from_low_reference": 0.306029 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 169.058333, "fair_value_reference": 400.354203, "structural_low": 136.0, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.074022, "positive_rate": 0.363636, "directional_follow_through": 0.636364, "median_excess_return": -0.024649, "regime_survival": 0.909091, "best_return": 0.145218, "worst_return": -0.288715, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.224632, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.312879, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.103991, "worst_return": -0.268105, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.432512, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.638691, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.432512, "worst_return": -0.432512, 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"typical_volume": 361.8, "trend": 178.187667, "fair_value": 405.770815, "relative_strength": -37.963512, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.683656, "energy": 43.937439, "activity_lines": [ 158.656667, 167.191092, 165.620191, 167.508689 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 136.0, "volume": 11, "typical_volume": 349.85, "trend": 174.397667, "fair_value": 403.787206, "relative_strength": -43.504287, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.487955, "energy": 73.991919, "activity_lines": [ 149.333333, 161.147092, 163.004524, 164.786904 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 156.199997, "volume": 367, "typical_volume": 366.5, "trend": 171.437667, "fair_value": 401.98, "relative_strength": -33.844323, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.46176, "energy": 64.440523, "activity_lines": [ 150.666666, 159.048546, 162.446, 163.61286 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 177.619995, "volume": 1500, "typical_volume": 421.4, "trend": 169.058333, "fair_value": 400.354203, "relative_strength": -22.840584, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -30.981193, "energy": 23.598214, "activity_lines": [ 159.059998, 161.004545, 163.99319, 164.01172 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }