{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "3024a14e-9a7f-44b9-b216-9ac35c92bd79",
    "symbol": "1633",
    "name": "NEXT FUNDS TOPIX-17 REAL ESTATE ETF",
    "exchange": "JPX",
    "country": "JP",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^N225",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -47.988,
    "architecture_energy": 33.095,
    "architecture_maturity": 55.314,
    "architecture_confidence": 69.084,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 34.17,
        "rotation_up": 25.62,
        "upward_expansion": 15.9,
        "deceleration": 66.11,
        "rotation_down": 34.4,
        "downward_expansion": 61.24
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      "activity_lines": [
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 50050.0,
    "trend_reference": 54960.288932,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.089342,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 42446.001215,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.179145,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -21.114046,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.125764,
    "excess_performance": -0.335022,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.089342,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.007549,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.179145,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.196011,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.21114,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.070211,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.125764,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.34668,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1797,
      "relative_activity": 0.916276,
      "balance": 0.34668,
      "dry_up": 0.882113,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.049094,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.237819,
      "from_high_reference": -0.243386,
      "from_low_reference": 0.106322
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 54960.288932,
      "fair_value_reference": 42446.001215,
      "structural_low": 48700.0,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
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    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 12,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
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        "worst_return": -0.065308,
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      },
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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      {
        "date": "2026-04-03",
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        "date": "2026-04-10",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 2627,
        "typical_volume": 2113.6,
        "trend": 55264.288932,
        "fair_value": 42049.478729,
        "relative_strength": -18.364481,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -47.841871,
        "energy": 39.144738,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 50880.0,
        "volume": 1337,
        "typical_volume": 2056.0,
        "trend": 55180.288932,
        "fair_value": 42184.995868,
        "relative_strength": -19.484091,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -43.864473,
        "energy": 32.782189,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 50860.0,
        "volume": 1159,
        "typical_volume": 1936.1,
        "trend": 55115.955599,
        "fair_value": 42323.231984,
        "relative_strength": -18.804314,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -41.389033,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 50050.0,
        "volume": 1797,
        "typical_volume": 1961.2,
        "trend": 54960.288932,
        "fair_value": 42446.001215,
        "relative_strength": -21.114046,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -47.988252,
        "energy": 33.095053,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}