{ "ticker": { "uuid": "30269b27-309e-41c0-906a-47f60164f22b", "symbol": "UEC", "name": "Unimit Engineering Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 55.876, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": -0.857, "architecture_energy": 15.583, "architecture_maturity": 47.379, "architecture_confidence": 73.938, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 63.91, "rotation_up": 14.46, "upward_expansion": 41.74, "deceleration": 85.22, "rotation_down": 38.99, "downward_expansion": 33.4 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.757333, 0.776364, 0.787905, 0.764061 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 0.74, "trend_reference": 0.722487, "distance_from_trend": 0.02424, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1.010943, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.26801, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -12.94446, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.231439, "excess_performance": 0.039114, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.02424, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.028268, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.26801, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.0558, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.129445, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.141729, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.231439, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.104193, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 585500, "relative_activity": 0.527261, "balance": 1.104193, "dry_up": 0.781999, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.069647, "annualized_volatility": 0.296756, "from_high_reference": -0.1658, "from_low_reference": 0.361065 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.722487, "fair_value_reference": 1.010943, "structural_low": 0.543692, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.042648, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.054191, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.233333, "worst_return": -0.227273, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.163227, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.187683, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.050956, "worst_return": -0.207317, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.038558, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.144586, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.089521, "worst_return": -0.134907, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-01", "end": "2025-09-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.088199, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-09-12", "end": "2025-09-19", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.05, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-26", "end": "2025-11-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.046512, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-11-14", "end": "2026-01-09", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.146342, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-01-16", "end": "2026-01-30", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.016393, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-02-06", "end": "2026-04-03", "tenure": "Developing", 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 41.839778, "energy": 27.154209, "activity_lines": [ 0.800667, 0.812182, 0.788751, 0.753078 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.79, "volume": 1515000, "typical_volume": 1122355.0, "trend": 0.717118, "fair_value": 1.018019, "relative_strength": -9.023989, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.105116, "energy": 22.318164, "activity_lines": [ 0.792667, 0.807818, 0.792331, 0.75794 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.74, "volume": 574200, "typical_volume": 1132990.0, "trend": 0.717938, "fair_value": 1.016486, "relative_strength": -14.789039, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 16.093927, "energy": 22.004282, "activity_lines": [ 0.770667, 0.794727, 0.790476, 0.759416 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.77, "volume": 798800, "typical_volume": 1150095.0, "trend": 0.720077, "fair_value": 1.015244, "relative_strength": -10.188818, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 12.673086, "energy": 17.859097, "activity_lines": [ 0.766667, 0.787818, 0.790952, 0.762775 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.74, "volume": 585500, "typical_volume": 1110455.0, "trend": 0.722487, "fair_value": 1.010943, "relative_strength": -12.94446, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -0.856894, "energy": 15.583364, "activity_lines": [ 0.757333, 0.776364, 0.787905, 0.764061 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }