{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "3035c4b9-65fb-4abe-8894-e6dda06585e5",
    "symbol": "CACI",
    "name": "CACI International Inc",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 78.004,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": 18.885,
    "architecture_energy": 22.142,
    "architecture_maturity": 33.884,
    "architecture_confidence": 68.937,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 57.24,
        "rotation_up": 40.72,
        "upward_expansion": 31.06,
        "deceleration": 48.88,
        "rotation_down": 17.28,
        "downward_expansion": 44.06
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        538.868667,
        513.947818,
        508.456524,
        522.199656
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 644.43,
    "trend_reference": 546.66,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.17885,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 453.530192,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.42092,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 5.21472,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.041924,
    "excess_performance": -0.083701,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.17885,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.043688,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.42092,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.325543,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.052147,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.251582,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.041924,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.716596,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2034948,
      "relative_activity": 1.44239,
      "balance": 1.716596,
      "dry_up": 1.068768,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.079873,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.498416,
      "from_high_reference": -0.057162,
      "from_low_reference": 0.482471
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 546.66,
      "fair_value_reference": 453.530192,
      "structural_low": 434.7,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.02626,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": -0.007954,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.097811,
        "worst_return": -0.067745,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.004617,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.042967,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.191837,
        "worst_return": -0.058901,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.133428,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.013641,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.324449,
        "worst_return": -0.095845,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.006634,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.123567,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.109432,
        "worst_return": -0.028201,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-02-16",
        "end": "2024-11-22",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.280085,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-11-29",
        "end": "2024-12-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.011655,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-12-13",
        "end": "2025-01-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.057696,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-02-07",
        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.116487,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-04-25",
        "end": "2025-05-02",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.030434,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-05-09",
        "end": "2025-06-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.0568,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-06-20",
        "end": "2025-06-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.021606,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-07-04",
        "end": "2025-12-26",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.108278,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-01-02",
        "end": "2026-01-23",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.232188,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-01-30",
        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.022882,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-03-27",
        "end": "2026-04-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.064772,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-04-24",
        "end": "2026-05-01",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.006292,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-05-08",
        "end": "2026-07-31",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.034845,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-08-07",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
      {
        "date": "2023-08-18",
        "close": 327.4,
        "volume": 736958,
        "typical_volume": 698487.2,
        "trend": 313.823667,
        "fair_value": 273.998846,
        "relative_strength": -0.037355,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "energy": 42.979535,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-08-25",
        "close": 325.3,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-01",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-22",
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        "date": "2023-09-29",
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      },
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        "date": "2023-10-06",
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      },
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        "date": "2023-10-13",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-10-20",
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      },
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        "date": "2023-10-27",
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      },
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        "date": "2023-11-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 1391525.9,
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        "fair_value": 450.685577,
        "relative_strength": -16.904718,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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        "energy": 35.20873,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 497.75,
        "volume": 1313998,
        "typical_volume": 1383548.9,
        "trend": 545.143667,
        "fair_value": 451.603526,
        "relative_strength": -15.781557,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -40.632796,
        "energy": 27.673585,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 644.43,
        "volume": 2034948,
        "typical_volume": 1410816.5,
        "trend": 546.66,
        "fair_value": 453.530192,
        "relative_strength": 5.21472,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 18.884762,
        "energy": 22.142382,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}