{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "305d3e0e-1165-42ce-becb-74ee5a44d00e",
    "symbol": "ISUR",
    "name": "Inmobiliaria del Sur, S.A.",
    "exchange": "MCE",
    "country": "ES",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^IBEX",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 57.276,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 46.875,
    "architecture_energy": 25.758,
    "architecture_maturity": 21.186,
    "architecture_confidence": 67.789,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.",
        "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 50.64,
        "rotation_up": 45.67,
        "upward_expansion": 73.3,
        "deceleration": 57.62,
        "rotation_down": 20.34,
        "downward_expansion": 4.63
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        16.426667,
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        16.311948,
        16.307569
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      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 16.5,
    "trend_reference": 16.259035,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.01482,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 10.552224,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.563651,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -6.736536,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.006024,
    "excess_performance": -0.130455,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.01482,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.051069,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.563651,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.102454,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.067365,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.100902,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.006024,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.181761,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 3004,
      "relative_activity": 0.230951,
      "balance": 2.181761,
      "dry_up": 0.585911,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.036618,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.226964,
      "from_high_reference": -0.170854,
      "from_low_reference": 0.269646
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 16.259035,
      "fair_value_reference": 10.552224,
      "structural_low": 15.3,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 19,
        "median_return": 0.0,
        "positive_rate": 0.421053,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.421053,
        "median_excess_return": -0.010422,
        "regime_survival": 0.631579,
        "best_return": 0.095238,
        "worst_return": -0.062937,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.010417,
        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.428571,
        "median_excess_return": 0.034659,
        "regime_survival": 0.428571,
        "best_return": 0.108033,
        "worst_return": -0.042254,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.027154,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.001187,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.181945,
        "worst_return": -0.051992,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.149751,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "best_return": 0.21404,
        "worst_return": -0.07378,
        "sufficient": false
      }
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-03-24",
        "end": "2023-06-23",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.055556,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2023-07-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.027027,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.056338,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "end": "2023-11-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.022059,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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        "return": -0.006897,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2024-11-01",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 21349.65,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "relative_strength": 2.783414,
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        "gate": "up",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 20660.45,
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        "relative_strength": 1.868743,
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        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "trend": 15.533725,
        "fair_value": 9.984791,
        "relative_strength": -0.926395,
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        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "relative_strength": -3.804316,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "trend": 15.760353,
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        "relative_strength": -6.759347,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 11.966017,
        "energy": 10.298955,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 15672.8,
        "trend": 15.861104,
        "fair_value": 10.233048,
        "relative_strength": -4.460249,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
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        "energy": 22.184879,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 6274,
        "typical_volume": 15102.85,
        "trend": 15.945113,
        "fair_value": 10.295615,
        "relative_strength": -5.403435,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 34.663197,
        "energy": 16.77324,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 16.299999,
        "volume": 804,
        "typical_volume": 13778.95,
        "trend": 16.032455,
        "fair_value": 10.358823,
        "relative_strength": -3.804627,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 36.400624,
        "energy": 19.447155,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.325333,
          16.272346,
          16.242011,
          16.240037
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 16.5,
        "volume": 6806,
        "typical_volume": 13138.85,
        "trend": 16.126464,
        "fair_value": 10.423886,
        "relative_strength": -4.309656,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 36.288275,
        "energy": 23.468421,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.397333,
          16.315119,
          16.269292,
          16.270201
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 16.4,
        "volume": 19870,
        "typical_volume": 13463.2,
        "trend": 16.19434,
        "fair_value": 10.487734,
        "relative_strength": -5.60883,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 31.167024,
        "energy": 16.909348,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.406667,
          16.335261,
          16.28562,
          16.287849
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 16.5,
        "volume": 3004,
        "typical_volume": 13007.1,
        "trend": 16.259035,
        "fair_value": 10.552224,
        "relative_strength": -6.736536,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 46.874905,
        "energy": 25.75803,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.426667,
          16.37184,
          16.311948,
          16.307569
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}