{ "ticker": { "uuid": "306359ae-4acc-4163-ab95-f38de237f4a6", "symbol": "N1IC34", "name": "NICE Ltd.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 91.192, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -4.883, "architecture_energy": 13.573, "architecture_maturity": 35.168, "architecture_confidence": 47.524, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 59.57, "rotation_up": 30.82, "upward_expansion": 28.71, "deceleration": 50.13, "rotation_down": 18.02, "downward_expansion": 50.71 }, "activity_lines": [ 19.75, 19.512909, 19.172809, 19.960086 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 20.299999, "trend_reference": 21.137, "distance_from_trend": -0.039599, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 33.588269, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.395622, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -20.993569, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.125754, "excess_performance": -0.068705, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.039599, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.101725, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.395622, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.094684, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.209936, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.273903, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.125754, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.034028, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 202, "relative_activity": 0.044002, "balance": 0.034028, "dry_up": 4.492888, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.039371, "annualized_volatility": 0.437643, "from_high_reference": -0.426554, "from_low_reference": 0.192714 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 21.137, "fair_value_reference": 33.588269, "structural_low": 17.02, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.048246, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.022797, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.070575, "worst_return": 0.025917, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.097903, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.200359, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.006881, "worst_return": -0.188925, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.22579, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.374185, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.219495, "worst_return": -0.232085, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-12-27", "end": "2025-01-17", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.076069, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-01-24", "end": "2025-02-07", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.056143, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-02-14", "end": "2025-03-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.119765, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-03-21", "end": "2025-05-16", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.116364, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-06-06", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.070575, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-06-13", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": 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"date": "2026-06-26", "close": 18.780001, "volume": 2500, "typical_volume": 229.4, "trend": 22.183666, "fair_value": 34.331346, "relative_strength": -35.012067, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.773902, "energy": 55.270139, "activity_lines": [ 18.294666, 18.208363, 19.533523, 20.70301 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 20.16, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 217.5, "trend": 21.912666, "fair_value": 34.211153, "relative_strength": -29.429197, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.284293, "energy": 43.660618, "activity_lines": [ 18.904, 18.543272, 19.457904, 20.572451 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 20.110001, "volume": 5000, "typical_volume": 467.5, "trend": 21.799333, "fair_value": 34.088974, "relative_strength": -29.726188, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.662141, "energy": 36.57985, "activity_lines": [ 19.395334, 18.854, 19.391333, 20.45615 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 20.110001, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 467.25, "trend": 21.693, "fair_value": 33.966794, "relative_strength": -26.634398, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -30.563667, "energy": 43.910636, "activity_lines": [ 19.788667, 19.150546, 19.338809, 20.347161 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 18.219999, "volume": 82013, "typical_volume": 4566.85, "trend": 21.462333, "fair_value": 33.8325, "relative_strength": -32.31658, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.913652, "energy": 42.535402, "activity_lines": [ 19.398, 19.066545, 19.127952, 20.123097 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 19.940001, "volume": 287, "typical_volume": 4580.8, "trend": 21.304333, "fair_value": 33.70923, "relative_strength": -26.148058, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -20.504392, "energy": 21.157533, "activity_lines": [ 19.552667, 19.280182, 19.122, 20.024882 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 20.299999, "volume": 202, "typical_volume": 4590.7, "trend": 21.137, "fair_value": 33.588269, "relative_strength": -20.993569, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -4.882536, "energy": 13.573183, "activity_lines": [ 19.75, 19.512909, 19.172809, 19.960086 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }