{ "ticker": { "uuid": "30659680-43f2-4c98-81da-47db75c06e9f", "symbol": "301088", "name": "Rumere Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.135, "architecture_energy": 51.63, "architecture_maturity": 35.506, "architecture_confidence": 83.955, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 9.26, "rotation_up": 18.21, "upward_expansion": 7.63, "deceleration": 57.0, "rotation_down": 61.1, "downward_expansion": 80.96 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.678, 11.879455, 12.80277, 13.316783 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 12.09, "trend_reference": 14.150998, "distance_from_trend": -0.145643, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 12.929852, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.064954, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -17.445824, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.263217, "excess_performance": -0.270617, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.145643, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.056864, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.064954, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.221706, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.174458, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.04085, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.263217, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.738284, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8160438, "relative_activity": 1.019604, "balance": 1.738284, "dry_up": 0.885333, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.096901, "annualized_volatility": 0.33961, "from_high_reference": -0.362529, "from_low_reference": 0.114286 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 14.150998, "fair_value_reference": 12.929852, "structural_low": 10.85, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.017518, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.008752, "regime_survival": 0.857143, "best_return": 0.143912, "worst_return": -0.288247, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.056934, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.03465, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.30695, "worst_return": -0.213058, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.15117, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.188863, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.232541, "worst_return": -0.277146, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"relative_strength": -23.910616, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.290842, "energy": 72.91069, "activity_lines": [ 11.584667, 12.169138, 13.110983, 13.64312 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 11.62, "volume": 7290704, "typical_volume": 8093333.65, "trend": 14.299472, "fair_value": 12.95816, "relative_strength": -17.01661, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.642412, "energy": 55.796208, "activity_lines": [ 11.552, 11.939873, 12.927434, 13.459329 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 12.09, "volume": 8160438, "typical_volume": 8003540.55, "trend": 14.150998, "fair_value": 12.929852, "relative_strength": -17.445824, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.134593, "energy": 51.629731, "activity_lines": [ 11.678, 11.879455, 12.80277, 13.316783 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }