{ "ticker": { "uuid": "306c19fc-22e1-45dc-98f7-689615138e8e", "symbol": "3576", "name": "United Renewable Energy Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 93.606, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -4.497, "architecture_energy": 4.832, "architecture_maturity": 3.7, "architecture_confidence": 53.493, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 60.73, "rotation_up": 31.86, "upward_expansion": 27.01, "deceleration": 56.66, "rotation_down": 33.37, "downward_expansion": 29.34 }, "activity_lines": [ 17.326667, 17.293636, 17.430238, 17.866559 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 17.75, "trend_reference": 17.675, "distance_from_trend": 0.004243, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 12.074167, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.470081, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 3.384687, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.116352, "excess_performance": -0.32502, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.004243, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.235697, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.470081, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.076724, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.033847, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.128301, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.116352, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.374506, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 53248555, "relative_activity": 0.437776, "balance": 2.374506, "dry_up": 0.782342, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.131528, "annualized_volatility": 0.769284, "from_high_reference": -0.366071, "from_low_reference": 1.958333 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 17.675, "fair_value_reference": 12.074167, "structural_low": 13.75, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": -0.004773, "positive_rate": 0.45, "directional_follow_through": 0.45, "median_excess_return": 0.00518, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.405836, "worst_return": -0.104, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.016394, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": 0.047695, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 2.083554, "worst_return": -0.18, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.058048, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.084317, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 1.188329, "worst_return": -0.281135, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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17.447272, 17.93119, 17.665591 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 17.85, "volume": 151877781, "typical_volume": 149460496.85, "trend": 16.515667, "fair_value": 12.088612, "relative_strength": 13.836719, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 10.224246, "energy": 12.578241, "activity_lines": [ 17.133333, 17.493636, 17.822143, 17.774925 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 18.299999, "volume": 206632987, "typical_volume": 145699122.55, "trend": 16.874333, "fair_value": 12.091474, "relative_strength": 13.376197, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 8.97168, "energy": 6.43216, "activity_lines": [ 17.513333, 17.614545, 17.77619, 17.890043 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 16.299999, "volume": 53875900, "typical_volume": 140940508.95, "trend": 17.104, "fair_value": 12.077372, "relative_strength": 1.832265, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": -7.323951, "energy": 8.786875, "activity_lines": [ 17.206666, 17.348181, 17.56, 17.852989 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 16.950001, "volume": 66881163, "typical_volume": 129845752.85, "trend": 17.385666, "fair_value": 12.071282, "relative_strength": 2.796516, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -17.783141, "energy": 10.365029, "activity_lines": [ 17.13, 17.235454, 17.442381, 17.843054 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 17.75, "volume": 53248555, "typical_volume": 121634384.7, "trend": 17.675, "fair_value": 12.074167, "relative_strength": 3.384687, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -4.49742, "energy": 4.831587, "activity_lines": [ 17.326667, 17.293636, 17.430238, 17.866559 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }