{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "307445cf-8b2d-471b-b0f2-3386fa5baef8",
    "symbol": "BF-A",
    "name": "Brown-Forman Corporation",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 54.113,
    "architecture_energy": 41.979,
    "architecture_maturity": 39.047,
    "architecture_confidence": 72.169,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 54.12,
        "rotation_up": 51.26,
        "upward_expansion": 76.71,
        "deceleration": 53.76,
        "rotation_down": 21.16,
        "downward_expansion": 15.04
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        28.078,
        27.622406,
        27.432773,
        27.336245
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 29.06,
    "trend_reference": 27.335317,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.063094,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 37.923672,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.233724,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -5.532119,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.008503,
    "excess_performance": -0.134128,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.063094,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.001397,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.233724,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.078802,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.055321,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.047658,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.008503,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.52452,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 716384,
      "relative_activity": 0.739373,
      "balance": 0.52452,
      "dry_up": 0.734568,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.069103,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.435035,
      "from_high_reference": -0.058766,
      "from_low_reference": 0.273795
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 27.335317,
      "fair_value_reference": 37.923672,
      "structural_low": 22.813725,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 24,
        "median_return": -0.00956,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.027815,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.245283,
        "worst_return": -0.183561,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": -0.061254,
        "positive_rate": 0.272727,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.272727,
        "median_excess_return": -0.100827,
        "regime_survival": 0.090909,
        "best_return": 0.158731,
        "worst_return": -0.216365,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.095005,
        "positive_rate": 0.125,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.125,
        "median_excess_return": -0.173662,
        "regime_survival": 0.375,
        "best_return": 0.08435,
        "worst_return": -0.215887,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.1423,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.381508,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": -0.000682,
        "worst_return": -0.440518,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-11-08",
        "end": "2025-05-02",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.129849,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.034853,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-06-06",
        "end": "2025-08-22",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.124332,
        "active": false
      },
      {
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "return": 0.000661,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "end": "2025-12-26",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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        "date": "2026-04-17",
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
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        "fair_value": 38.911321,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 26.13,
        "volume": 583833,
        "typical_volume": 1056295.9,
        "trend": 27.072973,
        "fair_value": 38.660478,
        "relative_strength": -12.727934,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -21.177339,
        "energy": 10.515181,
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          26.747333,
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          27.1048
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 26.71,
        "volume": 636187,
        "typical_volume": 1021078.75,
        "trend": 27.107185,
        "fair_value": 38.401253,
        "relative_strength": -9.788657,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -45.139522,
        "energy": 27.232576,
        "activity_lines": [
          26.667333,
          26.837469,
          27.032233,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 29.22,
        "volume": 910511,
        "typical_volume": 1006291.25,
        "trend": 27.222444,
        "fair_value": 38.164852,
        "relative_strength": -2.107357,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 27.485149,
        "energy": 12.801257,
        "activity_lines": [
          27.419333,
          27.266848,
          27.253392,
          27.217693
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 29.06,
        "volume": 716384,
        "typical_volume": 968907.5,
        "trend": 27.335317,
        "fair_value": 37.923672,
        "relative_strength": -5.532119,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 54.112939,
        "energy": 41.979424,
        "activity_lines": [
          28.078,
          27.622406,
          27.432773,
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        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}