{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3077a905-a292-4741-a147-39819f189b74", "symbol": "EUEE", "name": "iShares Europe Eq Enhanc Actv U", "exchange": "MIL", "country": "IT", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 90.864, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 82.961, "architecture_energy": 73.07, "architecture_maturity": 40.992, "architecture_confidence": 77.762, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.69, "rotation_up": 64.0, "upward_expansion": 87.18, "deceleration": 53.13, "rotation_down": 22.72, "downward_expansion": 13.85 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.7452, 6.700891, 6.580224, 6.474578 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 6.855, "trend_reference": 6.3592, "distance_from_trend": 0.077966, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 5.680775, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.206702, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -3.546806, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.106895, "excess_performance": -0.063997, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.077966, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.042031, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price 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sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.020888, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.003654, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.03111, "worst_return": 0.012731, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.074186, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.007209, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.074186, "worst_return": 0.074186, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, 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"relative_strength": -2.614236, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.116235, "energy": 72.604828, "activity_lines": [ 6.669267, 6.630236, 6.502862, 6.413931 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.733, "volume": 131667, "typical_volume": 187847.8, "trend": 6.3359, "fair_value": 5.668914, "relative_strength": -2.512287, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.809318, "energy": 59.64313, "activity_lines": [ 6.6914, 6.656909, 6.537376, 6.441088 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.855, "volume": 142362, "typical_volume": 177415.35, "trend": 6.3592, "fair_value": 5.680775, "relative_strength": -3.546806, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.960997, "energy": 73.070005, "activity_lines": [ 6.7452, 6.700891, 6.580224, 6.474578 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }