{ "ticker": { "uuid": "30812966-a096-43ac-8ae8-bf9f93ea041c", "symbol": "GLDVDE", "name": "UBS S&P Dividend Aristocrats ESG Elite UCITS ETF hEUR dis", "exchange": "MIL", "country": "IT", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 85.975, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 80.95, "architecture_energy": 82.265, "architecture_maturity": 35.386, "architecture_confidence": 68.93, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 1.9, "rotation_up": 80.16, "upward_expansion": 95.86, "deceleration": 42.26, "rotation_down": 12.96, "downward_expansion": 17.86 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.585867, 13.452764, 13.202362, 13.035218 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 13.726, "trend_reference": 12.860187, "distance_from_trend": 0.067325, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 11.002673, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.247515, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -4.583834, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.071892, "excess_performance": -0.099, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.067325, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.037273, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.247515, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.061089, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.045838, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.010551, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.071892, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.773295, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 178240, "relative_activity": 1.787394, "balance": 1.773295, "dry_up": 2.271158, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.018718, "annualized_volatility": 0.128803, "from_high_reference": -0.012944, "from_low_reference": 0.228225 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 12.860187, "fair_value_reference": 11.002673, "structural_low": 11.8, "invalidation": 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"up", "direction": 76.708819, "energy": 84.326776, "activity_lines": [ 13.2724, 13.121055, 12.914419, 12.820654 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 13.528, "volume": 340977, "typical_volume": 76807.95, "trend": 12.722933, "fair_value": 10.927774, "relative_strength": -2.943658, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 81.493171, "energy": 87.827717, "activity_lines": [ 13.377333, 13.217127, 12.986981, 12.875627 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 13.504, "volume": 337219, "typical_volume": 92587.3, "trend": 12.769158, "fair_value": 10.95193, "relative_strength": -2.831495, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.300532, "energy": 87.261657, "activity_lines": [ 13.445333, 13.293527, 13.055486, 12.926019 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 13.552, "volume": 49489, "typical_volume": 92787.25, "trend": 12.816262, "fair_value": 10.976764, "relative_strength": -3.093358, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.036692, "energy": 80.230767, "activity_lines": [ 13.497333, 13.362909, 13.123819, 12.976525 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 13.726, "volume": 178240, "typical_volume": 99720.6, "trend": 12.860187, "fair_value": 11.002673, "relative_strength": -4.583834, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.950488, "energy": 82.265191, "activity_lines": [ 13.585867, 13.452764, 13.202362, 13.035218 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }