{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "309fe137-0d2e-46a3-9ea4-6fbbfc7a1f5c",
    "symbol": "MIDU",
    "name": "DIREXION DAILY MID CAP BULL 3X ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 68.585,
    "architecture_energy": 41.009,
    "architecture_maturity": 64.05,
    "architecture_confidence": 62.839,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 32.04,
        "rotation_up": 43.14,
        "upward_expansion": 73.61,
        "deceleration": 70.11,
        "rotation_down": 25.67,
        "downward_expansion": 4.94
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        71.550667,
        71.224345,
        69.199249,
        66.457044
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 75.59,
    "trend_reference": 63.585712,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.188789,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 49.947933,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.513376,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 16.594935,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.185705,
    "excess_performance": 0.06008,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.188789,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.112757,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.513376,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.09446,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.165949,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.009833,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.185705,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.958437,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 81115,
      "relative_activity": 0.627422,
      "balance": 0.958437,
      "dry_up": 0.50869,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.074408,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.411019,
      "from_high_reference": -0.004216,
      "from_low_reference": 0.77374
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 63.585712,
      "fair_value_reference": 49.947933,
      "structural_low": 47.43,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 19,
        "median_return": -0.014269,
        "positive_rate": 0.473684,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.473684,
        "median_excess_return": -0.043892,
        "regime_survival": 0.631579,
        "best_return": 0.150198,
        "worst_return": -0.245397,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.049686,
        "positive_rate": 0.375,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.375,
        "median_excess_return": -0.043359,
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        "worst_return": -0.283429,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.104303,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.196113,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
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        "worst_return": -0.457607,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "worst_return": -0.457074,
        "sufficient": false
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        "color": "amber",
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        "return": 0.120193,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 158852.4,
        "trend": 61.918349,
        "fair_value": 49.37459,
        "relative_strength": 13.624446,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 58.278321,
        "energy": 42.335641,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 70.19,
        "volume": 89119,
        "typical_volume": 146956.05,
        "trend": 62.462083,
        "fair_value": 49.547536,
        "relative_strength": 14.50821,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 54.734815,
        "energy": 36.858307,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 68.71,
        "volume": 54441,
        "typical_volume": 137420.65,
        "trend": 62.995417,
        "fair_value": 49.722423,
        "relative_strength": 10.366727,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 40.791247,
        "energy": 26.700104,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 75.59,
        "volume": 81115,
        "typical_volume": 129283.1,
        "trend": 63.585712,
        "fair_value": 49.947933,
        "relative_strength": 16.594935,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.584919,
        "energy": 41.008562,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}