{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "30a7fdbd-a3e8-4b6e-86bd-f98110640fe0",
    "symbol": "MQR",
    "name": "Marquee Resources Limited",
    "exchange": "ASX",
    "country": "AU",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^AXJO",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -65.007,
    "architecture_energy": 63.273,
    "architecture_maturity": 100.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 96,
    "architecture_tenure": "Extended",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 7.88,
        "rotation_up": 28.18,
        "upward_expansion": 12.0,
        "deceleration": 60.94,
        "rotation_down": 54.5,
        "downward_expansion": 85.33
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.004467,
        0.0046,
        0.005476,
        0.006218
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 0.005,
    "trend_reference": 0.0072,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.305556,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 0.014096,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.645293,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -44.31076,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.375,
    "excess_performance": -0.438706,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.305556,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.161165,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.645293,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.062565,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.443108,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.170177,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.375,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.402064,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 4361267,
      "relative_activity": 1.44885,
      "balance": 0.402064,
      "dry_up": 0.744496,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.138462,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.86007,
      "from_high_reference": -0.642857,
      "from_low_reference": 0.25
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.0072,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.014096,
      "structural_low": 0.004,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 42,
        "median_return": -0.017857,
        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.0096,
        "regime_survival": 0.904762,
        "best_return": 0.8,
        "worst_return": -0.409524,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 14,
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        "positive_rate": 0.285714,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
        "median_excess_return": -0.176627,
        "regime_survival": 0.714286,
        "best_return": 0.32,
        "worst_return": -0.491228,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.1875,
        "positive_rate": 0.375,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.23527,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
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        "worst_return": -0.561404,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.254167,
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        "median_excess_return": -0.344227,
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        "worst_return": -0.617647,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "balance",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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      },
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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        "volume": 1364110,
        "typical_volume": 2859967.35,
        "trend": 0.007333,
        "fair_value": 0.014295,
        "relative_strength": -54.663241,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -77.201328,
        "energy": 70.544316,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.004267,
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          0.005617,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.005,
        "volume": 4361267,
        "typical_volume": 3010158.35,
        "trend": 0.0072,
        "fair_value": 0.014096,
        "relative_strength": -44.31076,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}