{ "ticker": { "uuid": "30b13b0c-b5db-41ae-aff1-431d72dbed7e", "symbol": "CERT", "name": "Certara Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 48.414, "architecture_energy": 66.963, "architecture_maturity": 22.765, "architecture_confidence": 57.576, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.38, "rotation_up": 76.79, "upward_expansion": 66.38, "deceleration": 18.32, "rotation_down": 16.52, "downward_expansion": 22.38 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.770667, 7.176545, 6.529333, 6.435075 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 8.2, "trend_reference": 6.642, "distance_from_trend": 0.234568, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 11.883974, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.309995, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -13.997756, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.134163, "excess_performance": -0.05329, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.234568, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.100244, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.309995, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.201736, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.139978, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.308046, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.134163, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.052375, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 25894932, "relative_activity": 1.290144, "balance": 2.052375, "dry_up": 0.973121, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.125826, "annualized_volatility": 0.722674, "from_high_reference": -0.409222, "from_low_reference": 0.842697 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.642, "fair_value_reference": 11.883974, "structural_low": 4.45, "invalidation": "A 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1.109928, "energy": 16.797869, "activity_lines": [ 6.368667, 5.968182, 5.894762, 6.190301 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 6.93, "volume": 13563935, "typical_volume": 19764313.55, "trend": 6.747, "fair_value": 12.07891, "relative_strength": -26.767506, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 6.252199, "energy": 24.848796, "activity_lines": [ 6.657333, 6.182, 5.983762, 6.197505 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.51, "volume": 15625890, "typical_volume": 19607238.2, "trend": 6.701, "fair_value": 12.004231, "relative_strength": -18.34979, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 36.694876, "energy": 48.093666, "activity_lines": [ 7.024, 6.49, 6.128714, 6.246731 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.1, "volume": 23042666, "typical_volume": 19827938.55, "trend": 6.679667, "fair_value": 11.938269, "relative_strength": -11.720107, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 43.810352, "energy": 65.08531, "activity_lines": [ 7.456, 6.850182, 6.327714, 6.336989 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.2, "volume": 25894932, "typical_volume": 20071352.85, "trend": 6.642, "fair_value": 11.883974, "relative_strength": -13.997756, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 48.414097, "energy": 66.962834, "activity_lines": [ 7.770667, 7.176545, 6.529333, 6.435075 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }