{ "ticker": { "uuid": "30b270f3-c6fc-4c66-9159-66b4f44000f2", "symbol": "1476", "name": "Eclat Textile Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -23.007, "architecture_energy": 14.386, "architecture_maturity": 19.925, "architecture_confidence": 75.308, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 55.32, "rotation_up": 29.71, "upward_expansion": 31.38, "deceleration": 42.57, "rotation_down": 27.26, "downward_expansion": 42.05 }, "activity_lines": [ 335.9, 333.681024, 331.120917, 334.349214 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 322.0, "trend_reference": 345.228014, "distance_from_trend": -0.067283, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 432.406135, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.25533, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -39.140566, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.192558, "excess_performance": -0.63393, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.067283, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.057504, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.25533, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.009497, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.391406, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.044376, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.192558, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.278663, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7037057, "relative_activity": 0.952574, "balance": 1.278663, "dry_up": 1.191216, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.066765, "annualized_volatility": 0.262645, "from_high_reference": -0.28361, "from_low_reference": 0.067205 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 345.228014, "fair_value_reference": 432.406135, "structural_low": 301.722696, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": -0.007557, "positive_rate": 0.473684, "directional_follow_through": 0.473684, "median_excess_return": -0.02938, "regime_survival": 0.421053, "best_return": 0.116521, "worst_return": -0.281504, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.022158, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.06559, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.165829, "worst_return": -0.188852, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.068706, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.118004, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.286233, "worst_return": -0.214015, 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328.387302, 336.226416 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 346.0, "volume": 10937428, "typical_volume": 7292519.2, "trend": 347.983909, "fair_value": 434.400139, "relative_strength": -32.364348, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -3.608259, "energy": 11.702521, "activity_lines": [ 337.466667, 332.833902, 329.990629, 336.052763 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 347.0, "volume": 8505134, "typical_volume": 7381406.4, "trend": 347.4211, "fair_value": 433.486134, "relative_strength": -32.97544, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -1.810815, "energy": 13.792523, "activity_lines": [ 341.633333, 335.707066, 331.735649, 335.989285 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 322.0, "volume": 7037057, "typical_volume": 7387411.6, "trend": 345.228014, "fair_value": 432.406135, "relative_strength": -39.140566, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -23.007398, "energy": 14.385593, "activity_lines": [ 335.9, 333.681024, 331.120917, 334.349214 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }