{ "ticker": { "uuid": "30df79fc-82a1-49cf-a9a9-a66a9be084b8", "symbol": "GLW", "name": "Corning Incorporated", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -19.293, "architecture_energy": 34.27, "architecture_maturity": 56.994, "architecture_confidence": 44.448, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 49.07, "rotation_up": 16.72, "upward_expansion": 23.62, "deceleration": 69.81, "rotation_down": 64.21, "downward_expansion": 37.29 }, "activity_lines": [ 2699.066667, 2949.494727, 3049.007579, 2942.434809 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 2860.0, "trend_reference": 2712.787415, "distance_from_trend": 0.054266, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1225.364537, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.333999, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 28.863286, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.507939, "excess_performance": 0.562605, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.054266, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.227701, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.333999, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.815469, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.288633, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.491142, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.507939, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.570718, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 781, "relative_activity": 0.129673, "balance": 1.570718, "dry_up": 0.73877, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.139467, "annualized_volatility": 0.712372, "from_high_reference": -0.283208, "from_low_reference": 1.359476 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2712.787415, "fair_value_reference": 1225.364537, "structural_low": 2030.0, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.014997, "positive_rate": 0.636364, "directional_follow_through": 0.636364, "median_excess_return": 0.014003, "regime_survival": 0.090909, "best_return": 0.457453, "worst_return": -0.1073, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.045296, "positive_rate": 0.777778, "directional_follow_through": 0.777778, "median_excess_return": -0.0122, "regime_survival": 0.111111, "best_return": 0.438423, "worst_return": -0.11703, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.408724, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.419832, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.973044, "worst_return": -0.150747, 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2642.161926, "fair_value": 1199.194921, "relative_strength": 19.081105, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 6.045269, "energy": 13.885971, "activity_lines": [ 2984.0, 3136.870113, 3118.858537, 2945.736266 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2400.0, "volume": 13756, "typical_volume": 6007.1, "trend": 2669.010661, "fair_value": 1210.80537, "relative_strength": 9.53672, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": -14.774638, "energy": 29.969309, "activity_lines": [ 2718.533333, 2992.680726, 3062.243063, 2930.112916 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2860.0, "volume": 781, "typical_volume": 6022.85, "trend": 2712.787415, "fair_value": 1225.364537, "relative_strength": 28.863286, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -19.293417, "energy": 34.270229, "activity_lines": [ 2699.066667, 2949.494727, 3049.007579, 2942.434809 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }