{ "ticker": { "uuid": "30e42c4b-6567-448a-88a1-8f6357039510", "symbol": "603171", "name": "Servyou Software Group Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -48.821, "architecture_energy": 38.917, "architecture_maturity": 71.126, "architecture_confidence": 59.801, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.07, "rotation_up": 26.35, "upward_expansion": 17.39, "deceleration": 66.68, "rotation_down": 44.3, "downward_expansion": 69.73 }, "activity_lines": [ 42.516, 41.581694, 45.105933, 48.317332 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 47.560001, "trend_reference": 54.260212, "distance_from_trend": -0.123483, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 39.352062, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.208577, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -9.088884, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.350096, "excess_performance": -0.306892, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.123483, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.051631, "read": "Falling" 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34.419998, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.024817, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.02503, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.19752, "worst_return": -0.103819, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.130423, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.1007, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.035176, "worst_return": -0.212121, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.21507, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.145145, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": -0.164405, "worst_return": -0.265734, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"close": 34.900002, "volume": 22989015, "typical_volume": 22655132.45, "trend": 54.675212, "fair_value": 39.24579, "relative_strength": -31.549073, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.905348, "energy": 87.456327, "activity_lines": [ 37.214667, 40.082238, 45.441089, 49.350091 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 45.619999, "volume": 45959722, "typical_volume": 23835992.3, "trend": 54.512545, "fair_value": 39.291124, "relative_strength": -10.654779, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.153551, "energy": 55.09302, "activity_lines": [ 39.776, 40.581737, 45.160868, 48.765884 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 47.560001, "volume": 94986835, "typical_volume": 27821113.1, "trend": 54.260212, "fair_value": 39.352062, "relative_strength": -9.088884, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.821026, "energy": 38.917427, "activity_lines": [ 42.516, 41.581694, 45.105933, 48.317332 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }