{ "ticker": { "uuid": "30f0333c-451a-4780-b5aa-2d9b49fe6175", "symbol": "GMR", "name": "Gaming Realms plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -33.219, "architecture_energy": 15.268, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 79.035, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 39.75, "rotation_up": 26.66, "upward_expansion": 19.34, "deceleration": 42.14, "rotation_down": 32.21, "downward_expansion": 58.01 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.3128, 0.310018, 0.3156, 0.319077 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 0.32, "trend_reference": 0.3292, "distance_from_trend": -0.027947, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.380228, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.158399, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -22.331589, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.130435, "excess_performance": -0.18167, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.027947, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.092613, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.158399, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.073432, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.223316, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.012101, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.130435, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.470563, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1810143, "relative_activity": 0.998424, "balance": 1.470563, "dry_up": 0.86179, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.076988, "annualized_volatility": 0.330235, "from_high_reference": -0.393939, "from_low_reference": 0.103448 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.3292, "fair_value_reference": 0.380228, "structural_low": 0.29, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": 0.010902, "positive_rate": 0.565217, "directional_follow_through": 0.434783, "median_excess_return": -0.015327, "regime_survival": 0.869565, "best_return": 0.178248, "worst_return": -0.194872, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.024169, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.075029, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.102041, "worst_return": -0.246411, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.130652, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.124273, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.253061, "worst_return": -0.227273, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"volume": 1421824, "typical_volume": 2104466.55, "trend": 0.335133, "fair_value": 0.38067, "relative_strength": -27.234371, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.141759, "energy": 26.967247, "activity_lines": [ 0.308933, 0.308909, 0.316733, 0.321606 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.308, "volume": 1941333, "typical_volume": 1840769.35, "trend": 0.332067, "fair_value": 0.380356, "relative_strength": -26.039091, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.575512, "energy": 21.808976, "activity_lines": [ 0.309, 0.308236, 0.315557, 0.319856 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.32, "volume": 1810143, "typical_volume": 1813000.55, "trend": 0.3292, "fair_value": 0.380228, "relative_strength": -22.331589, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -33.218846, "energy": 15.268227, "activity_lines": [ 0.3128, 0.310018, 0.3156, 0.319077 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }