{ "ticker": { "uuid": "30f75cb6-52f3-4825-831a-ea5552ab3003", "symbol": "AAZ", "name": "Anglo Asian Mining PLC", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 71.371, "architecture_energy": 55.077, "architecture_maturity": 74.958, "architecture_confidence": 82.294, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.4, "rotation_up": 53.55, "upward_expansion": 82.02, "deceleration": 67.93, "rotation_down": 26.74, "downward_expansion": 8.68 }, "activity_lines": [ 405.663887, 401.778742, 368.114647, 340.428647 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 422.0, "trend_reference": 313.455817, "distance_from_trend": 0.346282, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 150.366503, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.806476, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 46.266718, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.397351, "excess_performance": 0.331072, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.346282, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.208155, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.806476, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.492943, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.462667, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.150842, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.397351, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.532521, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 487600, "relative_activity": 0.873222, "balance": 2.532521, "dry_up": 0.812119, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.0971, "annualized_volatility": 0.664079, "from_high_reference": -0.022797, "from_low_reference": 1.731392 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 313.455817, "fair_value_reference": 150.366503, "structural_low": 173.149994, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": 0.031363, "positive_rate": 0.653846, "directional_follow_through": 0.653846, "median_excess_return": 0.045786, "regime_survival": 0.807692, "best_return": 0.379747, "worst_return": -0.303448, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.150088, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.123519, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.394231, "worst_return": -0.304939, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.392857, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.420822, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.664, "worst_return": -0.323982, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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410.107867, 388.811645, 342.746121, 321.424152 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 407.0262, "volume": 338559, "typical_volume": 680402.1, "trend": 304.39769, "fair_value": 146.339299, "relative_strength": 47.125665, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.342558, "energy": 65.479674, "activity_lines": [ 410.722967, 395.6636, 352.230024, 328.383037 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 377.2438, "volume": 573533, "typical_volume": 607619.95, "trend": 308.13915, "fair_value": 148.167785, "relative_strength": 33.135849, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.015741, "energy": 52.182012, "activity_lines": [ 400.27552, 395.245551, 358.367859, 333.082786 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 422.0, "volume": 487600, "typical_volume": 558392.05, "trend": 313.455817, "fair_value": 150.366503, "relative_strength": 46.266718, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.371019, "energy": 55.077385, "activity_lines": [ 405.663887, 401.778742, 368.114647, 340.428647 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }